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Victorian State Election 2022

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Jezza Taurus

2023 PREMIERS!


Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Location: Ponsford End

PostPosted: Fri Nov 25, 2022 10:00 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Newspoll:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 35%
- Greens = 12%
- Other = 15%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 54.5%
- Coalition = 45.5%

If the poll is accurate, Labor will retain majority with 45 to 50 seats.

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Last edited by Jezza on Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:49 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Jezza Taurus

2023 PREMIERS!


Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Location: Ponsford End

PostPosted: Fri Nov 25, 2022 10:18 pm
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REVISED.

Seats to watch:

Labor vs Coalition

[*] Ashwood
[*] Bayswater
[*] Ringwood
[*] Ripon
[*] Monbulk
[*] Morwell (held by independent, but the incumbent is retiring)
[*] Pakenham
[*] South Barwon
[*] Hastings
[*] Box Hill
[*] Glen Waverley
[*] Bass
[*] Nepean
[*] Cranbourne
[*] Narre Warren North
[*] Croydon
[*] Sandringham
[*] Yan Yean


Labor vs Greens

[*] Albert Park
[*] Northcote
[*] Richmond
[*] Pascoe Vale
[*] Prahran


Labor vs Independent

[*] Melton
[*] Point Cook
[*] Werribee
[*] Mulgrave (Daniel Andrews' seat)


Coalition vs Teals

[*] Brighton
[*] Caulfield (three-way contest between the Coalition, Teal and Labor)
[*] Hawthorn (currently held by Labor, but not expected to retain)
[*] Kew
[*] Mornington


Coalition vs Independent

[*] Benambra
[*] Mildura
[*] Shepparton

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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 12:04 am
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Just finished work, and realllly regretting agreeing to hand out how-to-vote cards at 8am tomorrow Crying or Very sad
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Jezza Taurus

2023 PREMIERS!


Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Location: Ponsford End

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 4:36 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Think Labor narrowly gets a majority.

Obviously hoping for a tighter result and a repudiation of Andrews.

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 6:05 pm
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The wash up will be interesting, however it plays out.

I don't believe the polls, this could go anywhere, but my fondest hope is that Andrews loses his own seat.

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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 6:50 pm
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Jezza wrote:
Think Labor narrowly gets a majority.

Obviously hoping for a tighter result and a repudiation of Andrews.


I've got some money on a hung parliament, so fingers crossed! Wink

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Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:06 pm
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Threepeat Dan the Man is just about to claim victory (or announce a fresh lockdown). He’s governing with a comfortable majority.
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Morrigu Capricorn



Joined: 11 Aug 2001


PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:30 pm
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stui magpie wrote:
The wash up will be interesting, however it plays out.

I don't believe the polls, this could go anywhere, but my fondest hope is that Andrews loses his own seat.


Oh never mind - suck it up princess! Woo hoo!!!!!!

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think positive Libra

Side By Side


Joined: 30 Jun 2005
Location: somewhere

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:50 pm
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Gees he shit it in!
Probably deserves it then!

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Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:08 am
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https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-27/victoria-election-daniel-andrews-labor-win-liberal-party-loss/101703068

Quote:
Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews has secured a third term of majority government in an emphatic victory which delivered an electoral disaster to the Liberal Party.

The ABC has projected Labor will win more than 45 seats, and could come close to the 55-seat majority it enjoyed during its second term in power.

Addressing the Labor faithful on Saturday night, Mr Andrews declared that "hope always defeats hate" and suggested critics who accused him of dividing the state during his government's controversial handling of the COVID-19 pandemic had been proven wrong.

"We were instead united in our faith in science and in our faith and care for and in each other," he said.

....

Monash University senior politics lecturer Zareh Ghazarian said the result was a clear "vindication" of the Andrews's government.

"Voters have resoundingly given his government the thumbs up for not only the future agenda that they promoted during the campaign and before the campaign but also in terms of the way in which the pandemic was managed," Dr Ghazarian said.
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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:17 am
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^ what time did you get home from the celebrations?
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lazzadesilva Virgo



Joined: 04 Feb 2003


PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:50 am
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Some of us are still celebrating 🥳😝😅😎
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Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 11:56 am
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What'sinaname wrote:
^ what time did you get home from the celebrations?

I've said it before - but I'll say it again. I'm not (and have never been) a member of any political party and it has been about a quarter of a century since I voted for the ALP.

It's still a very funny result, though. The Liberal Party is a kind of slapstick for the modern age. Hence: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-27/vic-election-matthew-guy-to-resign-as-liberal-leader/101703320
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Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:25 pm
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The ALP has already won 50 seats. There are 8 seats in doubt (plus Narracan, where voting did not proceed and a fresh election will be required). The ALP is leading in 6 of those 8 seats, so there is a real prospect Andrews has been returned with an increased majority.

Enjoy! Laughing Laughing Laughing
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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:42 pm
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A little disappointed the Greens didn’t win more (at some point last night it looked like they might have increased their lower house numbers from 3 to as many as 8, but at this stage it’s looking more likely they’ll end up on 4). Main interest now will be the legislative council. Things are looking somewhat encouraging on that front: https://amp.abc.net.au/article/101703326
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