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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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It's my birthday on the 2nd. Bolsonaro getting the flick that day would be a nice present. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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David wrote: | It's my birthday on the 2nd. Bolsonaro getting the flick that day would be a nice present. |
Yes indeed. Bolsanaro and his motley crew have been saying how the voting system is crook. I’m sure I’ve heard that before 🤔 🤦♂️
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/29/world/americas/election-bolsonaro-brazil-fraud.html
Under Bolsanaro apart from razing and burning the Amazon 😱 has led to the widespread proliferation of guns in Brazil. January 6, 2000 is likely to look like a sunday school picnic if the opposition wins as the polls are indicating. _________________ “I even went as far as becoming a Southern Baptist until I realised they didn’t keep ‘em under long enough” Kinky Friedman |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005 Location: In flagrante delicto
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Bolsanaro seems like an award winning douche. I don't see it ending well. _________________ Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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1st round results:
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party) = 57,255,683 (48.43%)
Jair Bolsonaro (Liberal Party) = 51,070,935 (43.20%) - INCUMBENT
Simone Tebet (Brazilian Democratic Movement) = 4,915,261 (4.16%)
Ciro Gomes (Democratic Labour Party) = 3,599,188 (3.04%)
Soraya Thronicke (Brazil Union) = 600,932 (0.51%)
Luiz Felipe d'Avila (New Party) = 559,680 (0.47%)
Kelmon Souza (Brazilian Labour Party) = 81,127 (0.07%)
Leonardo Péricles (Popular Unity) = 53,518 (0.05%)
Sofia Manzano (Brazilian Communist Party) = 45,615 (0.04%)
Vera Lúcia Salgado (United Socialist Workers' Party) = 25,623 (0.02%)
José Maria Eymael (Christian Democracy) = 16,603 (0.01%)
2nd and final round of voting will be held on October 30 between the top 2 candidates. _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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I haven’t followed this closely and don’t know enough about Brazilian politics to know where the various minor parties fall on the political spectrum, but my understanding is that Bolsonaro has greatly overperformed expectations and has a big chance of winning the run-off.
Edit: on further inspection, the Democratic Labour Party is of the left and the majority of its voters would presumably back Lula in the run-off, which on its own would push him over 50%. But of course that’s assuming that people vote the same way in four weeks’ time, which may not necessarily be the case. As for the rest, Brazilian Democratic Movement, Brazil Union and The New Party are right-leaning, and the others are presumably too small to matter. So you’re looking at something like a 51.5–48.5 left–right split based on these results. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace
Last edited by David on Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:24 pm; edited 4 times in total |
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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^ Based on my limited understanding of it, most polls had Bolsonaro in the 30s so he exceeded expectations getting 43% of the primary vote.
Whether it's enough to propel him to re-election? Time will tell. _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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Lula wins 50.9% to 49.1% against Bolsonaro.
The election was closer than what polls expected. _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Yes, I read that even in the second round Lula was still being predicted to win 53–54%. Interesting that polling is still getting it so wrong. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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