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Can Collingwood make the 8?

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E 



Joined: 05 May 2010


PostPosted: Fri Jul 27, 2018 11:15 pm
Post subject: Can Collingwood make the 8?Reply with quote

Big logjam forming. If North and Adelaide can win this week, there will 12 teams at 10-8.

I actually think that Sydney is in jeopardy big time. They look pretty ordinary tonight. i wonder if the old brigade are now too old for them. Maybe, finally, they slide.....

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eddiesmith Taurus

Lets get ready to Rumble


Joined: 23 Nov 2004
Location: Lexus Centre

PostPosted: Fri Jul 27, 2018 11:26 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Sydney will get confidence and their top 4 spot back next week on the back of Buddy kicking 12 goals

Don’t think Collingwood is in any danger of missing, still 2 games clear of 9th and 2 easy games in last 3 rounds
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K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Fri Jul 27, 2018 11:27 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

It's not about age. They had 7 injuries in 8 days, after which they collapsed.
It's all about the injuries.
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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 1:48 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Thought this was another pre-season bump. Laughing

I think from here, even if the wheels fall off a bit, it’s more likely that we make it than we don’t. One more win out of our last five would probably be enough for us to scrape in, and if we can’t manage that... having said that, I’m still not sure about top 4. Sydney writing themselves out of contention doesn’t hurt, though.

Sydney are likely to miss finals altogether now, I reckon, particularly with their remaining draw. Hard to believe given they seemed top 4 certainties just a few weeks ago – and hard to believe that the Giants, who looked out of finals contention in the middle of the season, are now a pretty good top 4 chance (particularly if Port keep up their average recent form). It’s certainly a hard season to predict, and it’s helped our cause that most teams around us have gone to pieces at one point or other. We’ve actually been remarkably consistent, and seem to have handled our injury list better than most.

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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 2:43 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Here’s how the afl.com.au Ladder Predictor (using the autofill feature) sees the ladder after round 23, incidentally:

1. Richmond 18/4
2. West Coast 18/4
3. Collingwood 16/6
4. GWS 15/1/6
5. Hawthorn 15/7
6. Port 14/8
7. Melbourne 13/9
8. Geelong 13/9

9. North 13/9
10. Sydney 11/11
11. Essendon 11/11
12. Adelaide 10/12

Looks pretty believable, but I reckon Hawthorn aren’t going to win anywhere near that many games, and that one of Essendon or Adelaide might yet sneak in.

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The Boy Who Cried Wolf 



Joined: 26 Sep 2013
Location: We prefer free speech - you know it's right

PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 5:48 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).

Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year.

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Piethagoras' Theorem Taurus

the hypotenuse, is always a cakewalk


Joined: 29 May 2006


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 7:43 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Unquestionably. Holding on to top 4 is the burning question
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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 9:23 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

They have round 19 to get thru and face a desparate for a win Sydney round 20

This really will test them with in form Brisbane then Port

Well if they are good enough we will see

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E 



Joined: 05 May 2010


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 9:54 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote:
If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).

Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year.


that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.

the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?

Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us.

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The Boy Who Cried Wolf 



Joined: 26 Sep 2013
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:01 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

I dont look at it that way (and how would that put us in Perth if we were 4th and Richmond is 1st?). The way I see it is, whoever wins the GF this year is most likely going to beat Richmond on the G - if we're 4th, we can play them straight off.. and if we lose, learn from that and play them again in the GF (assuming we can beat all comers on the G, and personally I don't take too much from our recent loss to WC on the G - we'll be good vs them come finals).
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Skids Cancer

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:26 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

E wrote:
The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote:
If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).

Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year.


that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.

the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?

Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us.



Laughing Laughing

One of the funniest posts I've ever read.

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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:32 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Making the finals after 4 years in the wilderness will be an achievement
especially when from the start we lost Broomy and Goldie

Been a constant battle with players going down during season and others only now playing VFL

Yes a flag would be marvellous but building a side to be finalist,s for a decade be great

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tbaker 



Joined: 02 Jul 2018
Location: Q19 Southern Stand MCG

PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:28 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

E wrote:
Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us.

Truth according to who? Severely flawed logic...what, you'd rather play 3 cut-throat finals with the semi and prelim almost certain to be interstate? Give me any day the first qualifying final interstate with remaining matches at MCG the most likely outcome.

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E 



Joined: 05 May 2010


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:58 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote:
I dont look at it that way (and how would that put us in Perth if we were 4th and Richmond is 1st?). The way I see it is, whoever wins the GF this year is most likely going to beat Richmond on the G - if we're 4th, we can play them straight off.. and if we lose, learn from that and play them again in the GF (assuming we can beat all comers on the G, and personally I don't take too much from our recent loss to WC on the G - we'll be good vs them come finals).


It we finish 4th and play Richmond in week 1, WCE finish second and beat someone else in week 1. Are you able to figure out where we play in week 3 of the finals in that scenario?

Ironically, if you want to make the GF and dont think you can beat the Eagles in Perth, you actually WANT to play them in week one.

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E 



Joined: 05 May 2010


PostPosted: Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:59 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Skids wrote:
E wrote:
The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote:
If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).

Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year.


that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.

the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?

Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us.



Laughing Laughing

One of the funniest posts I've ever read.


thanks Skids. Good to see someone understands me!

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