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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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Post subject: Can Collingwood make the 8? | |
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Big logjam forming. If North and Adelaide can win this week, there will 12 teams at 10-8.
I actually think that Sydney is in jeopardy big time. They look pretty ordinary tonight. i wonder if the old brigade are now too old for them. Maybe, finally, they slide..... _________________ Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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eddiesmith
Lets get ready to Rumble
Joined: 23 Nov 2004 Location: Lexus Centre
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Sydney will get confidence and their top 4 spot back next week on the back of Buddy kicking 12 goals
Don’t think Collingwood is in any danger of missing, still 2 games clear of 9th and 2 easy games in last 3 rounds |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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It's not about age. They had 7 injuries in 8 days, after which they collapsed.
It's all about the injuries. |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Thought this was another pre-season bump.
I think from here, even if the wheels fall off a bit, it’s more likely that we make it than we don’t. One more win out of our last five would probably be enough for us to scrape in, and if we can’t manage that... having said that, I’m still not sure about top 4. Sydney writing themselves out of contention doesn’t hurt, though.
Sydney are likely to miss finals altogether now, I reckon, particularly with their remaining draw. Hard to believe given they seemed top 4 certainties just a few weeks ago – and hard to believe that the Giants, who looked out of finals contention in the middle of the season, are now a pretty good top 4 chance (particularly if Port keep up their average recent form). It’s certainly a hard season to predict, and it’s helped our cause that most teams around us have gone to pieces at one point or other. We’ve actually been remarkably consistent, and seem to have handled our injury list better than most. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Here’s how the afl.com.au Ladder Predictor (using the autofill feature) sees the ladder after round 23, incidentally:
1. Richmond 18/4
2. West Coast 18/4
3. Collingwood 16/6
4. GWS 15/1/6
5. Hawthorn 15/7
6. Port 14/8
7. Melbourne 13/9
8. Geelong 13/9
9. North 13/9
10. Sydney 11/11
11. Essendon 11/11
12. Adelaide 10/12
Looks pretty believable, but I reckon Hawthorn aren’t going to win anywhere near that many games, and that one of Essendon or Adelaide might yet sneak in. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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The Boy Who Cried Wolf
Joined: 26 Sep 2013 Location: We prefer free speech - you know it's right
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If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).
Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year. _________________ All Aboard!! Choo Choo!!! |
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Piethagoras' Theorem
the hypotenuse, is always a cakewalk
Joined: 29 May 2006
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Unquestionably. Holding on to top 4 is the burning question _________________ Formally frankiboy and FrankieGoesToCollingwood. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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They have round 19 to get thru and face a desparate for a win Sydney round 20
This really will test them with in form Brisbane then Port
Well if they are good enough we will see _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote: | If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).
Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year. |
that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.
the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?
Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us. _________________ Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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The Boy Who Cried Wolf
Joined: 26 Sep 2013 Location: We prefer free speech - you know it's right
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I dont look at it that way (and how would that put us in Perth if we were 4th and Richmond is 1st?). The way I see it is, whoever wins the GF this year is most likely going to beat Richmond on the G - if we're 4th, we can play them straight off.. and if we lose, learn from that and play them again in the GF (assuming we can beat all comers on the G, and personally I don't take too much from our recent loss to WC on the G - we'll be good vs them come finals). _________________ All Aboard!! Choo Choo!!! |
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Skids
Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.
Joined: 11 Sep 2007 Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175
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E wrote: | The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote: | If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).
Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year. |
that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.
the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?
Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us. |
One of the funniest posts I've ever read. _________________ Don't count the days, make the days count. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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Making the finals after 4 years in the wilderness will be an achievement
especially when from the start we lost Broomy and Goldie
Been a constant battle with players going down during season and others only now playing VFL
Yes a flag would be marvellous but building a side to be finalist,s for a decade be great _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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tbaker
Joined: 02 Jul 2018 Location: Q19 Southern Stand MCG
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E wrote: | Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us. |
Truth according to who? Severely flawed logic...what, you'd rather play 3 cut-throat finals with the semi and prelim almost certain to be interstate? Give me any day the first qualifying final interstate with remaining matches at MCG the most likely outcome. _________________ I find your lack of faith disturbing |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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Post subject: | |
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The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote: | I dont look at it that way (and how would that put us in Perth if we were 4th and Richmond is 1st?). The way I see it is, whoever wins the GF this year is most likely going to beat Richmond on the G - if we're 4th, we can play them straight off.. and if we lose, learn from that and play them again in the GF (assuming we can beat all comers on the G, and personally I don't take too much from our recent loss to WC on the G - we'll be good vs them come finals). |
It we finish 4th and play Richmond in week 1, WCE finish second and beat someone else in week 1. Are you able to figure out where we play in week 3 of the finals in that scenario?
Ironically, if you want to make the GF and dont think you can beat the Eagles in Perth, you actually WANT to play them in week one. _________________ Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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Skids wrote: | E wrote: | The Boy Who Cried Wolf wrote: | If we can't finish 2nd, it might be in our best interests to actually come 4th and play Richmond on the MCG (not being any where near full strength, today's result will be mostly irrelevant come finals time).
Conceivably we could end up playing them 4 times this year. |
that would likely mean a preliminary final in Perth. That is nuts.
the better way to do this is to play WCE in Perth. Lose. Then beat Melbourne or Port. Then play Richmond at the G and take down the Eagles in the GF at the G?
Truth is, the best outcome of all is to finish 5th (while some team is getting flogged by Richmond). Beat the poor loser that finishes 8th and then run the table the last three weeks. Sadly, because you guys forced Collingwood to get a good percentage, its going to be hard for us to finish 5th. Our good percentage this year ight really hurt us. |
One of the funniest posts I've ever read. |
thanks Skids. Good to see someone understands me! _________________ Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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