Will Maxine knock off the former PM ?

Donny · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:24 pm

Last updated: 11.58 pm yesterday.

NSW DIVISION - BENNELONG

First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 47 of 48 Enrolment: 97,573 Turnout: 77.18% Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)

PETERS, Lindsay The Greens 3,904 5.45 -10.16
GOLDFINCH, Peter Lloyd Democrats 500 0.70 -0.56
LEYONHJELM, David LDP 56 0.08 +0.08
SPENCER, Gavin Citizens Electoral Council 49 0.07 +0.07
WATERSON, Victor One Nation 192 0.27 +0.20
MARKWELL, Lorraine Family First 225 0.31 +0.22
CORDINER, Graeme Independent 203 0.28 +0.28
ALLEN, David L Independent 101 0.14 +0.14
TAHIR, Yusuf 79 0.11 +0.11
HOWARD, John Winston Liberal 32,283 45.10 -4.53
TRACANELLI, Margherita Climate Change Coalition 212 0.30 +0.30
PEEBLES, Robyn Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 920 1.29 -1.06
McKEW, Maxine Labor 32,852 45.90 +16.75

FORMAL 71,576 95.05 +1.03
INFORMAL 3,727 4.95 -1.03
TOTAL 75,303 77.18 -18.31

Two Candidate Preferred

Polling Places Returned: 47 of 48 Turnout: 77.17% Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)

John HOWARD, Liberal 34,472 48.16 54.13 -5.97

Maxine McKEW, Labor 37,101 51.84 45.87 +5.97

Donny · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:25 pm

Update. Today at 4.30 AEDT

The former PM clawed back about 200 votes today. McKew leads by 2,439. With postal votes expected to favour Howard, this will be a cliffhanger.

Two Candidate Preferred

Polling Places Returned: 48 of 48 Turnout: 79.09% Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)

John HOWARD, Liberal 35,474 48.34 54.13 -5.79

Maxine McKEW, Labor 37,913 51.66 45.87 +5.79

member34258 · Joined: 05 Nov 2006

I thought Howard virtually conceded his seat last night.
Still, will be interesting to see the final result.

David · I dare you to try Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda

I thought this had already been decided? They called Bennelong for Labor on the ABC last night, unless I misunderstood...

David · I dare you to try Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda

^ Great minds think alike Wink

Dale61 · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:32 pm

Wouldn't it be a pisser if, in the remotest of chances, JH actually retains his seat, especially now that Costello has pulled the pin.

member34258 · Joined: 05 Nov 2006

Dale61 · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:39 pm

I wasn't referring to a leadership role, just that fact that Costello has jumped ship because he'd be the next in line to cop the flack.

Donny · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:44 pm

PeterWH · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:46 pm

All channels 'shredded' Howard last night.
Go have a look at www.aec.gov.au click onto NSW,then Bennelong and check it yourself.The latest at 7:30pm is that Maxibne McKew cant loose,BUT we dont know.
Good on her any way.......

nomadjack · Joined: 27 Apr 2006 Location: Essendon

Were saying on the ABC coverage last night that Libs would get about 60% of the pre-poll and postal votes which would be worth about 1%. For McKew to win she will need to have 1% above the required swing which was 4.1% ie 5.1%. With this in mind 5.8% should be enough, but only just. Either way, you would expect Howard to move on fairly quickly and Labor to slaughter the new candidate in a by-election.

Have no doubt that Howard's loss (if he does lose) is down to the incident in Lindsay.

Donny · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:52 pm

Peter, I checked that link.

The last update in Bennelong was 4.30, not 7.30.

If you have later figures, please post them.

Donny · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:54 pm

Jack, how is/was the Lindsay issue connected to Bennelong and Howard ?

PeterWH · Posted: Sun Nov 25, 2007 7:58 pm

The lastest figures on Sky 1/2 hour is basically the same,BUT Maxine is .1% further in front........all thew rest will be postals counted tomorrow,BUT the staement is that there wont be enough for Howard to claw back!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jack the incident in Lindsay has NOTHING to do with Howard its all local..

nomadjack · Joined: 27 Apr 2006 Location: Essendon