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Donny
Formerly known as MAGFAN8.
Joined: 04 Aug 2002 Location: Toonumbar NSW Australia
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Post subject: Will Maxine knock off the former PM ? | |
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Last updated: 11.58 pm yesterday.
NSW DIVISION - BENNELONG
First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 47 of 48 Enrolment: 97,573 Turnout: 77.18% Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
PETERS, Lindsay The Greens 3,904 5.45 -10.16
GOLDFINCH, Peter Lloyd Democrats 500 0.70 -0.56
LEYONHJELM, David LDP 56 0.08 +0.08
SPENCER, Gavin Citizens Electoral Council 49 0.07 +0.07
WATERSON, Victor One Nation 192 0.27 +0.20
MARKWELL, Lorraine Family First 225 0.31 +0.22
CORDINER, Graeme Independent 203 0.28 +0.28
ALLEN, David L Independent 101 0.14 +0.14
TAHIR, Yusuf 79 0.11 +0.11
HOWARD, John Winston Liberal 32,283 45.10 -4.53
TRACANELLI, Margherita Climate Change Coalition 212 0.30 +0.30
PEEBLES, Robyn Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 920 1.29 -1.06
McKEW, Maxine Labor 32,852 45.90 +16.75
FORMAL 71,576 95.05 +1.03
INFORMAL 3,727 4.95 -1.03
TOTAL 75,303 77.18 -18.31
Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 47 of 48 Turnout: 77.17% Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
John HOWARD, Liberal 34,472 48.16 54.13 -5.97
Maxine McKEW, Labor 37,101 51.84 45.87 +5.97 _________________ Donny.
It's a game. Enjoy it. |
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Donny
Formerly known as MAGFAN8.
Joined: 04 Aug 2002 Location: Toonumbar NSW Australia
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Update. Today at 4.30 AEDT
The former PM clawed back about 200 votes today. McKew leads by 2,439. With postal votes expected to favour Howard, this will be a cliffhanger.
Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 48 of 48 Turnout: 79.09% Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
John HOWARD, Liberal 35,474 48.34 54.13 -5.79
Maxine McKEW, Labor 37,913 51.66 45.87 +5.79 _________________ Donny.
It's a game. Enjoy it. |
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member34258
Joined: 05 Nov 2006
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I thought Howard virtually conceded his seat last night.
Still, will be interesting to see the final result. |
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David
to wish impossible things
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: the edge of the deep green sea
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I thought this had already been decided? They called Bennelong for Labor on the ABC last night, unless I misunderstood... _________________ "Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange |
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David
to wish impossible things
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: the edge of the deep green sea
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^ Great minds think alike _________________ "Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange |
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Dale61
You can't have manslaughter without laughter.
Joined: 17 Apr 2002 Location: /home/room/chair
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Wouldn't it be a pisser if, in the remotest of chances, JH actually retains his seat, especially now that Costello has pulled the pin. _________________ Whale
Oil
Beef
Hooked |
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member34258
Joined: 05 Nov 2006
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Dale61 wrote: | Wouldn't it be a pisser if, in the remotest of chances, JH actually retains his seat, especially now that Costello has pulled the pin. |
As a defeated Liberal PM, he would never stand for the leadership anyway. Seat won or not. |
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Dale61
You can't have manslaughter without laughter.
Joined: 17 Apr 2002 Location: /home/room/chair
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I wasn't referring to a leadership role, just that fact that Costello has jumped ship because he'd be the next in line to cop the flack. _________________ Whale
Oil
Beef
Hooked |
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Donny
Formerly known as MAGFAN8.
Joined: 04 Aug 2002 Location: Toonumbar NSW Australia
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member34258 wrote: | I thought Howard virtually conceded his seat last night. |
That doesn't stop the votes being counted.
How often did you believe what he said, anyway ? _________________ Donny.
It's a game. Enjoy it. |
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PeterWH
www.peakhillfm.com.au
Joined: 20 Oct 2001 Location: back home after travelling around Australia
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All channels 'shredded' Howard last night.
Go have a look at www.aec.gov.au click onto NSW,then Bennelong and check it yourself.The latest at 7:30pm is that Maxibne McKew cant loose,BUT we dont know.
Good on her any way....... _________________ PeterWH VK2FPHR Membership No.248693
PIES FOR PREMIERS.... YEAH WHEN!!!
We missed 2002 to 2009,BUT 2010 was OUR YEAR.. WATCH OUT 2018 here we come.We hope!! |
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nomadjack
Joined: 27 Apr 2006 Location: Essendon
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Were saying on the ABC coverage last night that Libs would get about 60% of the pre-poll and postal votes which would be worth about 1%. For McKew to win she will need to have 1% above the required swing which was 4.1% ie 5.1%. With this in mind 5.8% should be enough, but only just. Either way, you would expect Howard to move on fairly quickly and Labor to slaughter the new candidate in a by-election.
Have no doubt that Howard's loss (if he does lose) is down to the incident in Lindsay. |
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Donny
Formerly known as MAGFAN8.
Joined: 04 Aug 2002 Location: Toonumbar NSW Australia
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Peter, I checked that link.
The last update in Bennelong was 4.30, not 7.30.
If you have later figures, please post them. _________________ Donny.
It's a game. Enjoy it. |
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Donny
Formerly known as MAGFAN8.
Joined: 04 Aug 2002 Location: Toonumbar NSW Australia
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Jack, how is/was the Lindsay issue connected to Bennelong and Howard ? _________________ Donny.
It's a game. Enjoy it. |
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PeterWH
www.peakhillfm.com.au
Joined: 20 Oct 2001 Location: back home after travelling around Australia
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The lastest figures on Sky 1/2 hour is basically the same,BUT Maxine is .1% further in front........all thew rest will be postals counted tomorrow,BUT the staement is that there wont be enough for Howard to claw back!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Jack the incident in Lindsay has NOTHING to do with Howard its all local.. _________________ PeterWH VK2FPHR Membership No.248693
PIES FOR PREMIERS.... YEAH WHEN!!!
We missed 2002 to 2009,BUT 2010 was OUR YEAR.. WATCH OUT 2018 here we come.We hope!! |
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nomadjack
Joined: 27 Apr 2006 Location: Essendon
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MAGFAN8 wrote: | Jack, how is/was the Lindsay issue connected to Bennelong and Howard ? |
Couple of reasons Donny. First it kept him off message for the best part of a day and a half at the very end of the campaign as they tried to clean up the mess. More importantly though it would have shifted enough votes away from the Libs in Bennelong just like it did in Lindsay and stopped the party's momentum. Internal Lib polls taken across inner Sydney seats were tracking back towards the Libs as late as Wednesday. Once this issue broke this drift back stopped dead in its tracks. Probably only talking 1-2% if that but it looks like it would have made a difference.
Latest figures I've seen are at: http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/guide/benn.htm |
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