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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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Post subject: AFL site and flag odds | |
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Every side listed as flag winners by Crown Bet
Be a long time since this I reckon
Collingwood $25
Hawthorn. $25
Scum are $67 _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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masoncox
masoncox
Joined: 31 Aug 2015
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At sports bet we are at equal 10th with the Hawks as favs for the flag. Looks about right to me. |
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thebaldfacts
Joined: 02 Aug 2007
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Wonder what odds the Tigers were at this time last year.
Longer odds is my guess. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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And the Doggies the year before _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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masoncox
masoncox
Joined: 31 Aug 2015
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thebaldfacts wrote: | Wonder what odds the Tigers were at this time last year.
Longer odds is my guess. |
Odds always change. Bolters get up and favs get done over.
The point is the odds show what the collective mob think about our chances and every other teams chances for the flag next year. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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Tigers were $67 at before round 1 _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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Adam Treloar 3 Votes
Joined: 09 May 2017
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^ Masoncox
The hawks as favourites for the flag looks right to you 😳. Did you watch any of the 2017 season? Pretty hard to win a premiership if you won't make the finals I would have thought. _________________ People forget that our last premiership was only 2010 and rebuilds take some time. 2018 we play finals again. |
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masoncox
masoncox
Joined: 31 Aug 2015
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Adam Treloar 3 Votes wrote: | ^ Masoncox
The hawks as favourites for the flag looks right to you 😳. Did you watch any of the 2017 season? Pretty hard to win a premiership if you won't make the finals I would have thought. |
Poor old AT3V, did you check the stats of Hawks vs Pies re flags since the Hawks first came good in modern times? It is 13 to them and 2 to us. I am extremely jealous of their record. And so should you be if you are a true Collingwood supporter. Next time AT3V aim high and not low. |
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ronrat
Joined: 22 May 2006 Location: Thailand
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masoncox wrote: | Adam Treloar 3 Votes wrote: | ^ Masoncox
The hawks as favourites for the flag looks right to you 😳. Did you watch any of the 2017 season? Pretty hard to win a premiership if you won't make the finals I would have thought. |
Poor old AT3V, did you check the stats of Hawks vs Pies re flags since the Hawks first came good in modern times? It is 13 to them and 2 to us. I am extremely jealous of their record. And so should you be if you are a true Collingwood supporter. Next time AT3V aim high and not low. |
What he should have said was they are on the same line of betting. They are not favourites. Neither should they be.25-1 is way unders. I would have them around the 50-1 mark, I reckon I could find better and I still wouldn't take it. 25-1 is a bit short for us as well but a lot closer to the mark than Whorethorn.
What they have done in the past is irrelevant. An ageing list and stuff all draft picks. Couldn't even unload Hartung for a pick and they have lost Hodge.. GWS has never won a flag but who is to say they can't win next year. _________________ Annoying opposition supporters since 1967. |
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Mugwump
Joined: 28 Jul 2007 Location: Between London and Melbourne
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Just for fun, I could model it as :
15% chance we come top 4, then 50% chance in each of three finals if we do;
PLUS
50% chance we make 5-8 and 50% chance in each of the first two finals if we do, with 25% chance of winning in a prelim and GF given that ladder position.
Do those numbers and you end up in the 33-1 to 40-1 range. _________________ Two more flags before I die! |
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Skids
Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.
Joined: 11 Sep 2007 Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175
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Where are you getting those odds?
Sportsbet has us @ 22/1
Ladbrokes @ 20/1
WATAB @ 20/1
I wouldn't have a buck on the Crows @ 4/1... massive unders and I'm laying them on Betfair. _________________ Don't count the days, make the days count. |
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