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Culprit
Joined: 06 Feb 2003 Location: Port Melbourne
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Wokko wrote: | Tony stepping aside for some kind of manufactured 'family reasons' would have to be on the cards soon. Any transition can't look like a coup or the Gillard comparisons just continue to haunt the next PM (Who I assume will be Bishop). | Family reasons, is that code for adultery? |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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Culprit wrote: | Wokko wrote: | Tony stepping aside for some kind of manufactured 'family reasons' would have to be on the cards soon. Any transition can't look like a coup or the Gillard comparisons just continue to haunt the next PM (Who I assume will be Bishop). | Family reasons, is that code for adultery? |
Well that rumour has been around for a while anyway, but it's more code for "My party were about to sack me". Can be used interchangeably with "Health concerns".
Alternatively someone can make a play for the leadership and fail, but Tony still loses out to a third challenger who is then (a little) cleaner. |
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1061
Joined: 06 Sep 2013
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He has too much ego to step aside. |
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Tannin
Can't remember
Joined: 06 Aug 2006 Location: Huon Valley Tasmania
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Wokko wrote: | Culprit wrote: | Wokko wrote: | Tony stepping aside for some kind of manufactured 'family reasons' would have to be on the cards soon. Any transition can't look like a coup or the Gillard comparisons just continue to haunt the next PM (Who I assume will be Bishop). | Family reasons, is that code for adultery? |
Well that rumour has been around for a while anyway, but it's more code for "My party were about to sack me". Can be used interchangeably with "Health concerns".
Alternatively someone can make a play for the leadership and fail, but Tony still loses out to a third challenger who is then (a little) cleaner. |
I think you're overestimating how much control they have over this. My impression gained from the last government is that this stuff is completely chaotic; that there are a range of interest groups jockeying for positions of power behind the scenes at any given point in time. Throw in the 24 hour news cycle and opinion polling, and you've got a madhouse on your hands.
At this rate, I'm genuinely starting to wonder if any prime minister can last three years in office without being knifed. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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Member 7167
"What Good Fortune For Governments That The People Do Not Think" - Adolf Hitler.
Joined: 18 Dec 2008 Location: The Collibran Hideout
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stui magpie wrote: | ^
You just said that Fraser was a great leader.
I think I need a Bex and a lie down, he was a cnut. |
I can still remember the smirk on his face when he repeated on of his sayings "Life wasn't meant to be easy". Easy for some I would suggest not not us great unwashed. |
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think positive
Side By Side
Joined: 30 Jun 2005 Location: somewhere
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Wokko wrote: | Tony stepping aside for some kind of manufactured 'family reasons' would have to be on the cards soon. Any transition can't look like a coup or the Gillard comparisons just continue to haunt the next PM (Who I assume will be Bishop). |
Is there rally a chance of that? _________________ You cant fix stupid, turns out you cant quarantine it either! |
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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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Tannin wrote: | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kxq__3z9zGM |
_________________ “I even went as far as becoming a Southern Baptist until I realised they didn’t keep ‘em under long enough” Kinky Friedman |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005 Location: In flagrante delicto
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Member 7167 wrote: | stui magpie wrote: | ^
You just said that Fraser was a great leader.
I think I need a Bex and a lie down, he was a cnut. |
I can still remember the smirk on his face when he repeated on of his sayings "Life wasn't meant to be easy". Easy for some I would suggest not not us great unwashed. |
I can't remember the connection but I knew family or was distantly related to the guy who wrote this song.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arlz53X6Ge0 _________________ Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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Culprit
Joined: 06 Feb 2003 Location: Port Melbourne
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Dumping the Co Payment has happened even though they have made it voluntary. |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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think positive wrote: |
Is there rally a chance of that? |
I would normally say No because the Libs tend to run a tight ship, but Abbott is on the nose with his own supporters and a leper to everyone else so they would 100% know that they can't win the next election with him. That's why the backbench is getting angsty with Hockey (Hockey is making Abbott look bad) and Bishop is agitating (she just had a visit to a climate conference knocked back by the PMs office, so she turned around and took it to cabinet and now she's going).
If I was a Liberal Party strategist, I'd be furiously working on an Abbott exit strategy and trying to elevate someone popular enough to contest the next election with a clean slate (Bishop or Turnbull). |
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HAL
Please don't shout at me - I can't help it.
Joined: 17 Mar 2003
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Try it. |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005 Location: In flagrante delicto
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Wokko wrote: | think positive wrote: |
Is there rally a chance of that? |
I would normally say No because the Libs tend to run a tight ship, but Abbott is on the nose with his own supporters and a leper to everyone else so they would 100% know that they can't win the next election with him. That's why the backbench is getting angsty with Hockey (Hockey is making Abbott look bad) and Bishop is agitating (she just had a visit to a climate conference knocked back by the PMs office, so she turned around and took it to cabinet and now she's going).
If I was a Liberal Party strategist, I'd be furiously working on an Abbott exit strategy and trying to elevate someone popular enough to contest the next election with a clean slate (Bishop or Turnbull). |
Enter the balancing act.
On one hand, who is going to be popular enough with the people to get elected?
On the other hand, who has got leadership and vision and will make a good PM.
Unfortunately these two things don't always work together as labor found out with Krudd. Being a good opposition leader doesn't mean you can do the PM's gig. _________________ Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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Culprit
Joined: 06 Feb 2003 Location: Port Melbourne
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Turnbull is the answer but the Right Wingers won't want him in. |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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^ Yeah, I'd be very surprised if Turnbull got back in (albeit pleasantlyas much as some here despise him for what he did to the NBN, he could send the Liberal Party in a much more socially progressive direction and that's good for Australian politics in general). Bishop seems to be the obvious choice right now. She's an old fashioned nasty large-l Liberal minus the fringe nuttery of Abbott and co. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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