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14 wins (56 points) to play finals (currently on 36 points)

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lazzadesilva Virgo



Joined: 04 Feb 2003


PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 8:55 pm
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RudeBoy wrote:
Two observations:

1. We will make the top 4.

2. We will play the Swans in the Grand Final.


It absolutely bloody disgusts me to say this but don’t rule out Carlscum 🤮

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Jezza Taurus

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 8:57 pm
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Let's make sure we qualify first before declaring ourselves certainties of top 4 and being a Grand Finalist Razz
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MagpiesTheGreat 



Joined: 01 Dec 2014


PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 9:02 pm
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Jezza wrote:
Let's make sure we qualify first before declaring ourselves certainties of top 4 and being a Grand Finalist Razz

...and winning the back-to-back!!!
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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Mon Jun 10, 2024 9:45 pm
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MagpiesTheGreat wrote:
Jezza wrote:
Let's make sure we qualify first before declaring ourselves certainties of top 4 and being a Grand Finalist Razz

...and winning the back-to-back!!!


That was my 3rd observation. Very Happy
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Skids Cancer

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Tue Jun 11, 2024 9:40 am
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I don't think it's a bad draw at all. The danger game for me uis at the end of July, v the hawks. They're playing some pretty good footy.
6/4 to make the top 4 is stealing money.

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The Black and White Lion 

The Black and White Lion


Joined: 29 Apr 2022


PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2024 4:22 pm
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Dogs doing us a huge favour 7goals up on the Dockers today. Don't watch the Bont's latest GOTY contender. Should have had 2 free kicks for holding long before he kicked the goal. Still think Daicos has him covered though.

Back to the Dogs winning they move up to 28 points and Dockers stall on 30. With many byes this weekend, the Giants vs Port game is another 8point slider. If the Giants win and the Roos upset the Pies, the Giants can jump back up to 4th.

C'mon Pies take down the Roos and we're going to be 3rd on the ladder. Get a 2% boost and we're into 2nd as of Sunday night.

After our bye and the ladder naturalises for the first time all season, so long as we clear the Roos with +2%, we're going to slip as high as 4th or as low as 6th.

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Big T 



Joined: 18 Oct 2003
Location: Torino, Italy

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2024 10:36 pm
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We just need to make it - any position - and we can threaten anyone at full strength
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piedys Taurus

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Joined: 04 Sep 2003
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2024 7:26 pm
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The Black and White Lion wrote:
C'mon Pies take down the Roos and we're going to be 3rd on the ladder. Get a 2% boost and we're into 2nd as of Sunday night.


Or we just steal the 4 points and toddle off on vacation, then reload in two weeks time...

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Jezza Taurus

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Joined: 05 Sep 2010
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 16, 2024 8:19 pm
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8 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses (36 points)

OR - GWS (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R1 - Sydney (H) = LOSS (0 points)
R2 - St Kilda (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R3 - Brisbane Lions (A) = WON (4 points)
R4 - Hawthorn (N) = WON (8 points)
R6 - Port Adelaide (H) = WON (12 points)
R7 - Essendon (A) = DRAW (14 points)
R8 - Carlton (A) = WON (18 points)
R9 - West Coast (H) = WON (22 points)
R10 - Adelaide (H) = WON (26 points)
R11 - Fremantle (A) = DRAW (28 points)
R12 - Western Bulldogs (H) = LOSS (28 points)
R13 - Melbourne (H) = WON (32 points)
R14 - North Melbourne (A) = WON (36 points)

R16 - Gold Coast (A)
R17 - Essendon (H)
R18 - Geelong (H)
R19 - Hawthorn (A)
R20 - Richmond (H)
R21 - Carlton (H)
R22 - Sydney (A)
R23 - Brisbane Lions (H)
R24 - Melbourne (A)

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Last edited by Jezza on Thu Jul 04, 2024 10:19 pm; edited 1 time in total
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The Black and White Lion 

The Black and White Lion


Joined: 29 Apr 2022


PostPosted: Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:42 am
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piedys wrote:
The Black and White Lion wrote:
C'mon Pies take down the Roos and we're going to be 3rd on the ladder. Get a 2% boost and we're into 2nd as of Sunday night.


Or we just steal the 4 points and toddle off on vacation, then reload in two weeks time...


yeah who needs drama when we have the modern Pies generation

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piffdog 



Joined: 18 Jun 2021


PostPosted: Mon Jun 17, 2024 2:22 pm
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Thats a pretty nice run home at the 'G.

I am looking forward to a chance to play the Swans up there as a test. We might lose - but I recall both 2018 where we lost to Tiggers both times in the H&A and then enjoyed THAT prelim win.

We need to be tested. I am sure many of those games in that list will test us - but if we're going as well as many are saying, then we grab at least 5-6 which would get us to 56-60 points.

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qldmagpie67 



Joined: 18 Dec 2008


PostPosted: Tue Jun 18, 2024 9:04 am
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Our next 5 games are vital.
We need to secure 4 wins from them
All are winnable but also 4 are hard games against teams who currently are in around top 8 with aspirations

Rounds 21&22 are hard if we can split them then we will surely make top 4 and depending on the 5 previous games maybe top 2
Rounds 23&24 we should win both if our form is right and list healthy

Don’t fear Sydney as much as there record says.
There wining but last couple weeks have shown when out under immense pressure they are very beatable
If they have any injuries to Heeney, Warner, Gulden or Rowbottom there in trouble.
There forward line isn’t as damaging without the midfield feeding them multiple chances
This season Sydney has had the least impacted list by injury
2 or 3 injuries there back to the pack
Even without injury I reckon we can get them if we’re at full strength
Pendles on Heeney, Crisp on Warner, JDG on Rowbottom will give us at least a break square in the midfield with Mitchell. Lipinski, Nick, Schulz all able to rotate through the middle as well.
I think the second half on the weekend we learned there’s a role of McCreery using him with a run with role. Playing as a mid didn’t seem to suit him but changing that role to be a pseudo tagger or someone who takes him to the ball he has the speed and physical attributes to be dangerous.
Back we would have Moore, IQ, Noble or Markov, Howe, Frampton and either Nick or WHE or TJ at this stage
Forward we would have Hill, Elliott, McStay, Checkers, with a mixture of Sidey Richard’s Harrison Schulz JDG Nick WHE
We have some good options if fully fit list
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Jezza Taurus

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Joined: 05 Sep 2010
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PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2024 7:38 pm
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8 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses (36 points)

OR - GWS (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R1 - Sydney (H) = LOSS (0 points)
R2 - St Kilda (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R3 - Brisbane Lions (A) = WON (4 points)
R4 - Hawthorn (N) = WON (8 points)
R6 - Port Adelaide (H) = WON (12 points)
R7 - Essendon (A) = DRAW (14 points)
R8 - Carlton (A) = WON (18 points)
R9 - West Coast (H) = WON (22 points)
R10 - Adelaide (H) = WON (26 points)
R11 - Fremantle (A) = DRAW (28 points)
R12 - Western Bulldogs (H) = LOSS (28 points)
R13 - Melbourne (H) = WON (32 points)
R14 - North Melbourne (A) = WON (36 points)
R16 - Gold Coast (A) = LOSS (36 points)

R17 - Essendon (H)
R18 - Geelong (H)
R19 - Hawthorn (A)
R20 - Richmond (H)
R21 - Carlton (H)
R22 - Sydney (A)
R23 - Brisbane Lions (H)
R24 - Melbourne (A)

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Last edited by Jezza on Thu Jul 04, 2024 10:19 pm; edited 1 time in total
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K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 3:23 pm
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K wrote:
...
After R10, the Squiggle models reckon Collingwood's chances are:
5% for 1st
39% for top 4
74% for top 8.

For 1st, they reckon it's:
Sydney 67%
Geebung 8%
Port 6%
Ess 4%
Melb 3%
...

The GC loss was costly. After R16. Squiggle models reckon:
21% for top 4
64% fpr top 8.

Range 5-11.
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Jezza Taurus

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Joined: 05 Sep 2010
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 06, 2024 12:25 am
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8 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses (36 points)

OR - GWS (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R1 - Sydney (H) = LOSS (0 points)
R2 - St Kilda (A) = LOSS (0 points)
R3 - Brisbane Lions (A) = WON (4 points)
R4 - Hawthorn (N) = WON (8 points)
R6 - Port Adelaide (H) = WON (12 points)
R7 - Essendon (A) = DRAW (14 points)
R8 - Carlton (A) = WON (18 points)
R9 - West Coast (H) = WON (22 points)
R10 - Adelaide (H) = WON (26 points)
R11 - Fremantle (A) = DRAW (28 points)
R12 - Western Bulldogs (H) = LOSS (28 points)
R13 - Melbourne (H) = WON (32 points)
R14 - North Melbourne (A) = WON (36 points)
R16 - Gold Coast (A) = LOSS (36 points)
R17 - Essendon (H) = LOSS (36 points)

R18 - Geelong (H)
R19 - Hawthorn (A)
R20 - Richmond (H)
R21 - Carlton (H)
R22 - Sydney (A)
R23 - Brisbane Lions (H)
R24 - Melbourne (A)

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