Victorian State Election 2022

[Jezza]

RedBridge poll published on Monday:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 38%
- Greens = 14%
- Other = 14%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 53.5%
- Coalition = 46.5%

[Pies4shaw]

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/bloody-aboriginal-liberal-candidate-rails-against-indigenous-people-abortion-and-climate-change-20221119-p5bzm6.html

[stui magpie]

FFS, bring on Saturday, I'm over it, the fkn blatant lies in election ads shouldn't be legal. I won't be hanging around for another 3 years of Dandrews, Victoria deserves much better but at the moment the options are slim.

If Dandrews doesn't lose his seat, best case is a parliament stacked with independent fruit loops that block his every move and frustrates the shit out of him. The state is �$%$ed whatever happens, back to the days of Cain and Kirner.

[What'sinaname]

[David]

Speaking of lies in election ads, I see Labor are going after the Greens again with the same cynical smear tactics as last time. The ALP are an awful party filled to the brim with nasty people – that is, the ones who haven’t had all life and personality drained from them – but I still hope they win because the Liberals are so much worse. Some kind of balance-of-power situation in both houses would be ideal.

[Dark Beanie]

Depends on who has the balance of power.

Both major parties appear to be as bad as each other.
And so many nufties with only one policy running.

There may be some good people that end up in parliament but they will get lost amongst all the dross.

[David]

Definitely. Can't help but feel that accountability/negotiation of any kind would be better than none, but who that is will make a big difference. Hopefully some sensible people get in one way or another.

[eddiesmith]

Yet unfortunately instead of sensible people we’ll probably get more Greens.

[Presti35]

Cant vote Matthew Guy incase related to Ned Guy. Sorry.

[David]

[Jezza]

[Jezza]

Resolve Strategic poll published in The Age this morning:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 36%
- Coalition = 36%
- Greens = 10%
- Other = 18%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 53%
- Coalition = 47%

If this poll is accurate, it would have Labor winning 43-47 seats. They need 45 to form majority government.

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/labor-coalition-neck-and-neck-as-gap-narrows-between-andrews-and-guy-20221121-p5bzxv.html

[nomadjack]

I've got Labor dropping a maximum of 11 seats (including re-distributed seats that are now nominally Labor). This includes Northcote to the Greens and potentially Melton to an Independent. This will leave them on 45. The Libs are currently un-electable, but at least this would make it a contest next time around which is critical as far as I'm concerned.

[stui magpie]

The Libs are basically unelectable, but the choice is 3 more years of Andrews and the pendulum seems to be swinging away from Labor.

Labor is still in the box seat but I keep eding comparisons between Kennet and Andrews and how arrogance turned the tide. See what hppens.

[Jezza]

Roy Morgan SMS poll released on Wednesday night:

PRIMARY
- Labor = 38%
- Coalition = 32.5%
- Greens = 12.5%
- Other = 17%

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED
- Labor = 55%
- Coalition = 45%

Finał Newspoll to be released tonight at around 10pm.