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OEP 
Joined: 12 Jan 2007
Location: Perth
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Can we still refer to the Liberal Party as a "Party", I believe they've lost that status.
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A Collingwood supporter since the egg was inseminated. |
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stui magpie 
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto
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^
A Gathering?
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Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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Pies4shaw 
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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| There's a good chance they'll be a "couple". |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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| The Lib, L’Estrange, leads Churchlands by just 31 votes after another tranche was added this morning. I’m not sure how many votes remain to be counted but it’s going down to the wire. |
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watt price tully 
Joined: 15 May 2007
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| David wrote: | | Becoming opposition leader in circumstances like these probably seems a bit of a hospital pass, but I guess Annastacia Palaszczuk is an example of it working out for you in the long run – not sure there’s any chance she would have become Labor leader if it hadn’t been for the party’s decimation in 2012 (they only had seven seats left after that wipe-out), but was premier three years later and is now just 47 days away from becoming Queensland’s fifth-longest-serving leader. |
I liked the Premiers words to his new Parliamentary members: be humble, go back to your electorate, be good local members and don’t be arrogant. Newman of QLD was a personification of arrogance and lacked humility.
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“I even went as far as becoming a Southern Baptist until I realised they didn’t keep ‘em under long enough” Kinky Friedman |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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So, the ALP did gain Warren-Blackwood - the lead is 654 votes and growing. That one was won on a swing of 14.3% from the Nats to the ALP.
Nedlands will also be called for the ALP shortly. The ALP lead there is also nearly 600 votes and has been consistently increasing.
The only seat that seems actually doubtful, on present trends, is Churchlands (see my previous post). So, it looks as if the ALP will finish with either 52 or 53 of the 59 lower house seats, the Nats definitely only 4 and the Libs either 2 or 3.
It's a little unbelievable how long it is taking to distribute the preferences from the remaining handfuls of votes. These are electorates around the 21,000 vote mark. It really shouldn't be taking this long. |
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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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It’ll start to make up for the years of the Gardiner’s empire wrecking WA. Any chance of jailing Gina Rinehart?
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“I even went as far as becoming a Southern Baptist until I realised they didn’t keep ‘em under long enough” Kinky Friedman |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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The ALP has taken the lead by just under 100 votes in further counting in Churchlands. It looks very likely that the Libs will only need the tandem back to get their members to the Legislative Assembly.
The ABC is now predicting that the ALP will win 53 of the 59 lower house seats, the Nats 4 and the Libs 2. |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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| The ALP's lead in Churchlands is now out to 214 votes. |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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The ALP won Churchlands for the first time ever, with a swing of 12.2%.
So, when the official preference count is confirmed on Monday, the Libs will indeed end up with 2 seats. Just think, that's as many elected Liberal members as there are active cases of COVID in Victoria. |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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Antony Green has just published an update on progress in the Legislative Council count. He has the following:
ALP 22
Libs 7
Nats 2
Green 1
Other 1
with 3 remaining allocations still doubtful. Whatever the outcome, the ALP will control both Houses for the first time ever.
He also makes this observation, about the "Other" elected in the Council:
| Quote: | Several seats remain in doubt in the Legislative Council, but one of those that isn’t is the most remarkable victory.
In Mining and Pastoral Region, Wilson Tucker of the Daylight Saving Party looks certain of election despite polling only 0.19% of the vote. His victory may guarantee the abolition of group voting tickets for the Legislative Council. |
https://antonygreen.com.au/2021-wa-election-legislative-council-update/ |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto
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| watt price tully wrote: |
I liked the Premiers words to his new Parliamentary members: be humble, go back to your electorate, be good local members and don’t be arrogant. |
Did I read he declared himself Treasurer as well as Premier?
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Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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watt price tully
Joined: 15 May 2007
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| stui magpie wrote: | | watt price tully wrote: |
I liked the Premiers words to his new Parliamentary members: be humble, go back to your electorate, be good local members and don’t be arrogant. |
Did I read he declared himself Treasurer as well as Premier? |
Yes but he did in a humble manner 😉
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“I even went as far as becoming a Southern Baptist until I realised they didn’t keep ‘em under long enough” Kinky Friedman |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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The count in the Legislative Assembly has been finalized. Antony Green has taken an in-depth look at the final two-party preferred numbers. They are, on any view, startling:
https://antonygreen.com.au/final-two-party-preferred-result-for-2021-western-australian-election/
The big take away is probably this:
| Quote: | Labor has won 12 seats with two-party preferred percentage above 80%, 35 above 70%, and 47 of Labor’s 53 seats recorded two-party percentages above 60%.
To achieve a majority in the Legislative Assembly at the 2025 election, the Liberal and National Parties need to gain 24 seats on a uniform swing of 23.5%. |
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