Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index
 The RulesThe Rules FAQFAQ
   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   CalendarCalendar   SearchSearch 
Log inLog in RegisterRegister
 
May 18th Federal Election

Users browsing this topic:0 Registered, 0 Hidden and 0 Guests
Registered Users: None

Post new topic   Reply to topic    Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index -> Victoria Park Tavern
 
Goto page 1, 2, 3 ... 23, 24, 25  Next
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
Wokko Pisces

Come and take it.


Joined: 04 Oct 2005


PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 12:54 am
Post subject: May 18th Federal ElectionReply with quote

Multiple news sources stating that Morrison will call the election tomorrow for May 18th. The Coalition is coming from 10 lengths back but Labor have put the crop away. I expect Shorten to do everything he can to lose but sneak in with a small majority.

Of course Morrison is the marketing manager of PMs so I expect him to look like a tosser more often than not.

My preferred result is a Coalition minority who have to form Government with Katter and One Nation just for the laughs. Laughing
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
regan is true fullback 



Joined: 27 Dec 2002
Location: Granville. nsw

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 7:30 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Once again those latte sipping socialists, the bookies, have labor at $1.18, the cons at $4.85. Unlike the Libs they don't just give money away...

Opinion polls have barely budged since Malcolm was toppled.

NSW, the state where Labor was supposedly in trouble has 2 seats Reid and Gilmore where well known local members have left, with new Lib candidates annoying to the public...

2 new seats, one in Victoria and one in Canberra, mean that the seats of Dunkley and Corangamite are notionally Labor.

So that's 5 free seats before we even start on the seats the government must win to maintain its minority status.

Adani seats are held by the Coalition so not much joy there.

But in the suburbs of Brisbane...

The last time the Coalition achieved this feat was 1977, the year when anything could happen.

For those desperate souls hoping for a post Reagan/Thatcher type bounce, the current mob are more Boris Johnson than Bossy Maggie.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 9:18 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_Australian_federal_election

This may be a convenient link to get the opinion poll summary. Also, the main two-party preferred graphic representation over time looks a little like a bullant. That may be the most interesting thing about this entire election.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 9:47 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Morrison still selling the lie that Labor wrecked Howard’s economy. It’s almost like nothing else was happening around the world in 2007–2008...
_________________
All watched over by machines of loving grace
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail MSN Messenger  
Wokko Pisces

Come and take it.


Joined: 04 Oct 2005


PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 10:05 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

I've seen this bookies and opinion polls wrong time and again lately so don't hold much confidence in them, but Morrison is totally uninspiring and is the 3rd PM in this incarnation of Liberal government so I'm expecting him to get bounced like Rudd did. Hard to see who's the opposition leader after they get rolled, does Abbott rise Howard, I mean Lazarus like and retake the leadership? Laughing
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 10:10 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Almost wonder if they'll end up with a Brendon Nelson-like lame duck (someone like Frydenberg, Porter or Birmingham) before Abbott or someone else makes a move halfway through the term. You'd have to think Dutton would be the most obvious choice to take over from Morrison (FMD), but there's absolutely no guarantee that he'll even hold his seat.

Alternatively, if Labor loses, my bet is that Shorten will stand down for Plibersek.

_________________
All watched over by machines of loving grace
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail MSN Messenger  
Skids Cancer

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:50 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

The huge jump in Iron Ore prices has handed this pair of Buffoons a large treasure chest, to no doubt waste, on bullshit promises and policies.

I'll be voting for an Independent or One Nation and putting these 2 last.

Fill out your ballot paper, don't let anyone give your preferences away!

_________________
Don't count the days, make the days count.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
Skids Cancer

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:55 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

regan is true fullback wrote:
Once again those latte sipping socialists, the bookies, have labor at $1.18, the cons at $4.85. Unlike the Libs they don't just give money away.


Some interesting novelties;

Labor 60 seats or less $21
Labor 61 to 65 seats $12
Labor 66 to 70 seats $8
Labor 71 to 75 seats $7.50
Labor 76 to 80 seats $5.20
Labor 81 to 85 seats $2.70
Labor 86 to 90 seats $2.80
Labor 91 to 100 seats $4.85
Labor More than 100 seats $16
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail  
KenH Gemini



Joined: 24 Jan 2010


PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 3:59 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Skids wrote:
The huge jump in Iron Ore prices has handed this pair of Buffoons a large treasure chest, to no doubt waste, on bullshit promises and policies.

I'll be voting for an Independent or One Nation and putting these 2 last.

Fill out your ballot paper, don't let anyone give your preferences away!


Voting One Nation? I didn't realise you are a Queenslander?
I will be voting One Nation last or very close to it, depends on what religious groups are in my area!

_________________
Cheers big ears
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 5:10 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

A good state-by-state analysis here:

https://insidestory.org.au/over-the-top-with-scott/

_________________
All watched over by machines of loving grace
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail MSN Messenger  
Wokko Pisces

Come and take it.


Joined: 04 Oct 2005


PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 5:22 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

I choose Labor or Liberal with my last and second last preferences before the Greens and Socialists.

LDP, Bernardi's Party, One Nation all get my vote before it goes to one of the majors. We live in a preferential voting system, why people keep primary voting the two headed Laborals is beyond me.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Apr 11, 2019 7:12 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

My seat is Jenny macklins seat, but she's retired. The Libs routinely win the primary vote but Labor gets elected with Green preferences.

If the same bloke campaigns for the Libs who has in the past, I wouldn't be surprised if he wins. I'm going to vote for Liberal if he does run, as he's a good bloke and Macklin would have got a good percentage of votes on her profile alone.

I'm voting that way for purely selfish reasons, to hopefully push this seat into a marginal one to get more federal money, I don't really care who wins they're all as bad as each other.

_________________
Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Jezza Taurus

2023 PREMIERS!


Joined: 06 Sep 2010
Location: Ponsford End

PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2019 2:47 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Plan to vote the Libs in the lower house, and the Australian Conservatives in the upper house.
_________________
| 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 |
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2019 4:09 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting little tool on the ABC website

https://votecompass.abc.net.au/

Some of the questions could be phrased better, but overall it's OK.

I landed dead smack in the middle of the grid.

_________________
Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down.
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
luvdids Sagittarius



Joined: 22 Mar 2008
Location: work

PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2019 5:08 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh god, so we've got 5 weeks of political ads/torture to go. At least then the Palmer crap will be off the tv. And they won't be calling or messaging my mobile.

Also hoping Sukkar loses his seat, my electorate (Deakin)
Back to top  
View user's profile Send private message  
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Nick's Collingwood Bulletin Board Forum Index -> Victoria Park Tavern All times are GMT + 11 Hours

Goto page 1, 2, 3 ... 23, 24, 25  Next
Page 1 of 25   

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You cannot attach files in this forum
You cannot download files in this forum



Privacy Policy

Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2005 phpBB Group