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Who do you hope wins the US Election? |
Trump |
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39% |
[ 9 ] |
Biden |
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39% |
[ 9 ] |
Don't Care |
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21% |
[ 5 ] |
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Total Votes : 23 |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Sanders won the under-30 black vote in South Carolina 38%–36%, and polls have shown him leading Biden by 12% in that demographic nationally. While it’s true that he’s much less popular with African-American voters from older age groups, he still does vastly better than any other candidate (Sanders won 17% of the entire African-American vote in South Carolina vs 13% for the now-out-of-the-race Steyer, 5% for Warren, 3% for Buttigieg and 1% for Klobuchar; in Nevada it was 28% to Biden’s 38%). |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005 Location: In flagrante delicto
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Such a drawn out process where people notionally on the same side pick holes in each other, while the opponent they all hope to face can sit back, take notes and throw hand grenades at will. _________________ Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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stui magpie wrote: | Such a drawn out process where people notionally on the same side pick holes in each other, while the opponent they all hope to face can sit back, take notes and throw hand grenades at will. |
That's why the years with no incumbent like 2016 are much more fun |
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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South Carolina
Delegate Count:
- Joe Biden = 39
- Bernie Sanders = 15
Popular Vote (%):
- Joe Biden = 255,562 (48.8%)
- Bernie Sanders = 105,070 (19.9%)
- Tom Steyer = 59,815 (11.3%)
- Pete Buttigieg = 43,484 (8.2%)
- Elizabeth Warren = 37,285 (7.1%)
_______________________________________________________________
Democratic Primaries (Overall):
Estimated Delegate Count:
- Bernie Sanders = 60
- Joe Biden = 54
- Pete Buttigieg = 26
- Elizabeth Warren = 8
- Amy Klobuchar = 7
Popular Vote (%):
- Joe Biden = 323,357 (29.4%)
- Bernie Sanders = 268,149 (24.4%)
- Pete Buttigieg = 176,734 (16.1%)
- Amy Klobuchar = 87,270 (16.6%)
- Elizabeth Warren = 103,859 (9.4%)
Contests Won:
- Bernie Sanders = 2
- Pete Buttigieg = 1
- Joe Biden = 1
_______________________________________________________________
Republican Primaries (Overall):
Estimated Delegate Count:
- Donald Trump = 144
- Bill Weld = 1
Popular Vote (%):
- Donald Trump = 160,925 (91.23%)
- Bill Weld = 14,195 (8.05%)
Contests Won:
- Donald Trump = 5 _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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Jezza
2023 PREMIERS!
Joined: 06 Sep 2010 Location: Ponsford End
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Super Tuesday (March 3 2020)
Alabama (61 delegates - 52 pledged, 9 unpledged)
- No recent polling, but Biden is expected to win.
Arkansas (36 delegates - 31 pledged, 5 unpledged)
Feb 6-7 polling
- Michael Bloomberg = 19.6%
- Joe Biden = 18.5%
- Bernie Sanders = 16.4%
- Pete Buttigeg = 15.5%
- Other = 10.1%
- Elizabeth Warren = 8.9%
American Samoa (11 delegates - 6 pledged, 5 unpledged)
- No polling. Only expect a few hundred to vote.
California (494 delegates - 415 pledged, 79 unpledged)
February polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 33.1%
- Elizabeth Warren = 16.2%
- Undecided = 13.0%
- Joe Biden = 12.6%
- Michael Bloomberg = 10.5%
- Pete Buttigieg = 9.0%
- Amy Klobuchar = 5.1%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 1.7%
Colorado (80 delegates - 67 pledged, 13 unpledged)
February 20-27 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 30.7%
- Elizabeth Warren = 17.0%
- Michael Bloomberg = 12.5%
- Pete Buttigieg = 12.4%
- Joe Biden = 10.9%
- Undecided = 10.3%
- Amy Klobuchar = 5.8%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 0.9%
Maine (32 delegates - 24 pledged, 8 unpledged)
February 10-13 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 24.3%
- Pete Buttigeg = 15.8%
- Michael Bloomberg = 14.9%
- Undecided = 13.4%
- Joe Biden = 12.1%
- Elizabeth Warren = 11.1%
- Other = 4.3%
- Amy Klobuchar = 4.1%
Massachusetts (114 delegates - 91 pledged, 23 unpledged)
February 12-29 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 23.9%
- Elizabeth Warren = 19.4%
- Pete Buttigieg = 13.6%
- Michael Bloomberg = 11.9%
- Joe Biden = 11.5%
- Other/Undecided = 10.2%
- Amy Klobuchar = 7.3%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 2.2%
Minnesota (92 delegates - 75 pledged, 17 unpledged)
February 20-27 polling average:
- Amy Klobuchar = 27.2%
- Bernie Sanders = 22.7%
- Elizabeth Warren = 13.7%
- Undecided = 11.8%
- Joe Biden = 8.6%
- Pete Buttigieg = 7.1%
- Michael Bloomberg = 6.0%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 2.3%
North Carolina (122 delegates - 110 pledged, 12 unpledged)
February 12-27 polling average:
- Joe Biden = 22.9%
- Bernie Sanders = 21.7%
- Michael Bloomberg = 17.6%
- Undecided = 10.7%
- Elizabeth Warren = 10.6%
- Pete Buttigieg = 8.0%
- Amy Klobuchar = 5.0%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 1.2%
Oklahoma (42 delegates - 37 pledged, 5 unpledged)
February 10-21 polling average:
- Michael Bloomberg = 19.0%
- Joe Biden = 16.0%
- Bernie Sanders = 15.0%
- Undecided = 13.5%
- Pete Buttigieg = 9.5%
- Elizabeth Warren = 8.5%
- Amy Klobuchar = 7.0%
- Other = 2.5%
Tennessee (73 delegates - 64 pledged, 9 unpledged)
- No recent polling, but consensus seems to be Biden is slightly in front with Sanders not too far behind him.
Texas (262 delegates - 228 pledged, 34 unpledged)
February 6-27 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 26.1%
- Joe Biden = 20.9%
- Michael Bloomberg = 18.4%
- Elizabeth Warren = 13.3%
- Pete Buttigieg = 8.0%
- Undecided = 6.0%
- Amy Klobuchar = 4.6%
- Others = 2.7%
Utah (35 delegates - 29 pledged, 6 unpledged)
February 18-26 2020 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 27.8%
- Michael Bloomberg = 16.3%
- Undecided = 15.0%
- Pete Buttigieg = 14.8%
- Elizabeth Warren = 14.8%
- Joe Biden = 7.5%
- Amy Klobuchar = 3.8%
Vermont (23 delegates - 16 pledged, 7 unpledged)
February 4-10 poll:
- Bernie Sanders = 51.0%
- Pete Buttigieg = 13.0%
- Elizabeth Warren = 9.0%
- Michael Bloomberg = 7.0%
- Undecided = 7.0%
- Joe Biden = 5.0%
- Amy Klobuchar = 4.0%
- Other = 2.0%
- Tulsi Gabbard = 1.0%
Virginia (124 delegates - 99 pledged, 25 unpledged)
February 13-25 polling average:
- Bernie Sanders = 24.0%
- Michael Bloomberg = 19.0%
- Joe Biden = 18.9%
- Pete Buttigieg = 11.2%
- Elizabeth Warren = 10.4%
- Undecided = 7.6%
- Amy Klobuchar = 6.6%
- Other = 1.4% _________________ | 1902 | 1903 | 1910 | 1917 | 1919 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1935 | 1936 | 1953 | 1958 | 1990 | 2010 | 2023 | |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005 Location: In flagrante delicto
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So, unless I misread those numbers completely, Bernie has around 25% of the vote so far at the conventions.
Tracking at 25% of the vote from roughly 35% of voters, and for some strange reason given a chance of being elected POTUS _________________ Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Thanks Jezza! Good to collate all those figures. Looks like a big day coming up for Sanders on Tuesday (Wednesday our time), but nothing is set in stone of course. Will be watching intently.
Stui, Trump had a comparable share of the Republican vote at this stage in the 2016 primaries (perhaps a little higher). It’s to be expected in a crowded primary race. I think Sanders will need something closer to 40% to clinch the nomination, though. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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David wrote: | Thanks Jezza! Good to collate all those figures. Looks like a big day coming up for Sanders on Tuesday (Wednesday our time), but nothing is set in stone of course. Will be watching intently.
Stui, Trump had a comparable share of the Republican vote at this stage in the 2016 primaries (perhaps a little higher). It’s to be expected in a crowded primary race. I think Sanders will need something closer to 40% to clinch the nomination, though. |
He'll need the full 51% or the DNC will roll him. |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Well, it all depends on just how suicidal they’re feeling. I think it’s clear that at least some of them would rather lose to Trump than nominate Sanders. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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David wrote: | Well, it all depends on just how suicidal they’re feeling. I think it’s clear that at least some of them would rather lose to Trump than nominate Sanders. |
It’s important to appreciate that, save for the rhetoric and a few embellishments at the margins, the Democrats and Republicans represent the same ideology.
I see that the ConPAC is doing a “Reds Under the Beds” thing with Sanders, which is a little laughable - but then some presidential candidates in his own party have been doing a version of the same thing. |
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David
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003 Location: Andromeda
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Buttigieg is calling it quits. Most likely angling for Biden’s VP position.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/01/us/politics/pete-buttigieg-drops-out.html
That’s a big boost for Biden, who will probably scoop up a lot of his voters. Silver linings for Sanders are that his vote will still scatter at least a little and that early voting has already well and truly started for Super Tuesday, hopefully blunting a lot of the immediate benefit Biden would otherwise be enjoying from this. _________________ All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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Wokko
Come and take it.
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
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