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Pies4shaw 
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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| Post subject: SA State Election |  |
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https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-19/labor-wins-sa-election/100924154
| Quote: | Peter Malinauskas will become South Australia's 47th premier after leading Labor to a historic victory.
Mr Malinauskas will become the first leader to defeat a sitting government since the pandemic began — ousting the Liberal government after just one term.
Speaking outside his house, Mr Malinauskas described his win as an "extraordinary opportunity and an extraordinary moment in time".
Outgoing premier Steven Marshall said he had spoken to Mr Malinauskas and conceded.
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ABC election analyst Antony Green has predicted that outgoing Deputy Premier Dan van Holst Pellekaan will lose his seat.
Mr Green predicts he will be defeated by Independent MP Geoff Brock, who switched seats to Stuart after an electoral redistribution.
Earlier in the night, Mr Green projected Labor would win, saying "the government has been defeated".
"We have Labor definitely gaining four seats from the Liberal party," he said.
Labor lost the 2018 election after 16 years in power.
Mr Green has also predicted Mr Marshall's own seat of Dunstan is in danger, but said we may not know the result of that seat tonight. |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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| Quote: | Liberals crushed by Labor juggernaut
Labor's win represents an electoral evisceration for the SA Liberals. In some respects, the night could not have gone worse for Steven Marshall's party. Labor has gained five seats, including the four marginals that had been tipped to potentially change hands: Adelaide, Elder, King and Newland. The big surprise was Davenport, held by Liberal MP Steve Murray, which has been gained by Labor candidate Erin Thompson.
The ABC is projecting Labor will win 26 seats and the Liberals 16, with five independents. That would represent the Liberals' worst return since the 2006 so-called Rann-slide, when they won only 15.
In terms of state-wide trends, Labor picked up a 5.6 per cent swing on the two-party preferred vote. |
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-19/sa-votes-south-australia-state-election-2022-live-blog/100917538 |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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#26 
#26
Joined: 15 Jan 2022
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| I see the Greens got 9.8% of the vote, which is around the 10% they usually poll federally. So not really going up or down. |
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stui magpie 
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto
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^
No, they seem to have plateaued where Independents are gaining steadily as recipients of votes from people disenfranchised by the major parties.
_________________
Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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David 
I dare you to try
Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda
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| #26 wrote: | | I see the Greens got 9.8% of the vote, which is around the 10% they usually poll federally. So not really going up or down. |
Actually a significant increase from the last SA state election in 2018, when they only got 6.7%. That can largely be accounted for by the disappearance of Nick Xenophon's SA Best party, which scooped up a lot of their (as well as Labor's) vote. Still, even in previous elections at times when the Greens were doing relatively well federally (2010 and 2014), they only managed 8.1% and 8.7%, and SA has always been one of their weaker states. So this is a pretty encouraging result for them.
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All watched over by machines of loving grace |
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#26
#26
Joined: 15 Jan 2022
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| stui magpie wrote: | ^
No, they seem to have plateaued where Independents are gaining steadily as recipients of votes from people disenfranchised by the major parties. |
No? What are you saying no to? |
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#26
#26
Joined: 15 Jan 2022
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| David wrote: | | #26 wrote: | | I see the Greens got 9.8% of the vote, which is around the 10% they usually poll federally. So not really going up or down. |
Actually a significant increase from the last SA state election in 2018, when they only got 6.7%. That can largely be accounted for by the disappearance of Nick Xenophon's SA Best party, which scooped up a lot of their (as well as Labor's) vote. Still, even in previous elections at times when the Greens were doing relatively well federally (2010 and 2014), they only managed 8.1% and 8.7%, and SA has always been one of their weaker states. So this is a pretty encouraging result for them. |
True. Up on their last state election result, to the number they usually get at the federal level. I didn't articulate that very well.  |
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stui magpie
Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.
Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto
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| #26 wrote: | | stui magpie wrote: | ^
No, they seem to have plateaued where Independents are gaining steadily as recipients of votes from people disenfranchised by the major parties. |
No? What are you saying no to? |
Poor choice of wording, I was agreeing with you.
_________________
Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down. |
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#26
#26
Joined: 15 Jan 2022
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| No worries. |
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