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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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Post subject: Round 10 --win to loss ratio | |
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After preceding seasons of starting 8 and 3 then falling away to 3 and 8 we now head to round 10 with no certain win against Blues at G or Lions at the Gabba.
If that is uncertain then Geelong and Footsray to follow--a distinct possibility
of 2wins to 8 loss,s _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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jackcass
Joined: 01 Mar 2005 Location: Bendigo
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Could equally be 6-4... You're point? |
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mattys123
Joined: 06 Jul 2009 Location: Narre Warren, VIC
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I think we will be 4-6, beat the Blues and one of the others (not sure which).
Pendles has talked about wanting to play better in the second half of the season as compared to the first half this year.
It's all going to plan. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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My point is I see no improvement from the two sub standard
Not only cant we beat top sides we put in average performaces against
lesser credentialed sides
So what started a season of high expectations has fallen far short _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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John Wren
"Look after the game. It means so much to so many."
Joined: 15 Jul 2007
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it's not a ratio. _________________ Purveyor of sanctimonious twaddle. |
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BazBoy
Joined: 11 Sep 2014
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Dont care what you call it --just feel no improvement
for two seasons and what ls before us at this stage _________________ I'm not arguing--just explaining why i am right |
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John Wren
"Look after the game. It means so much to so many."
Joined: 15 Jul 2007
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why start another thread when there are 27 other threads with the same negative outlook that you could add to? _________________ Purveyor of sanctimonious twaddle.
Last edited by John Wren on Mon May 02, 2016 12:54 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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What'sinaname
Joined: 29 May 2010 Location: Living rent free
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John Wren wrote: | it's not a ratio. |
Yes it is. Win to loss is very much a ratio. As would wins to games played. |
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jackcass
Joined: 01 Mar 2005 Location: Bendigo
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barrybc41 wrote: | My point is I see no improvement from the two sub standard
Not only cant we beat top sides we put in average performaces against
lesser credentialed sides
So what started a season of high expectations has fallen far short |
So you won't be happy to see us at 6-4 |
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What'sinaname
Joined: 29 May 2010 Location: Living rent free
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I'll take 6-4 after 10 games _________________ Fighting against the objectification of woman. |
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yin-YANG
Joined: 03 Oct 2011
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Not sure why rnd 10 was deemed the milestone - we have usually noted our win loss ratio after 11 weeks. Even up to the bye gives us some time to ponder and reflect...
But anyway I will crunch the numbers... I think you have to break it down by probabilities:
By round 10: (given we are currently 2-4) Our chances are...
2 wins 8 losses - 25% (losing the lot)
3 wins 7 losses - 54% (beating bloozers losing the rest)
4 wins 6 losses - 20 % (beating Bloozers and Brins)
5 wins 5 losses- - 0.95% (beating bloozers, bions and one of cats or dogs)
6 wins 4 losses - 0.05% (winning all)
Given the Brions game is at the gabba - where they play Ok - I think they will go into that game as the favs... even if the Pies beat the Bloozers!
We have shown no indication this year that we can beat the best teams - of course there is a chance of catching these teams on an off day or repeating the results from the pre-season but this is highly unlikely.
I suggest it is more likely that we lose all games rather than beat Bloozers and Brions!
Even if we were just 50:50 in each game to win 4 games would be a probability of around 6% and we are a long way off a 50:50 chance for these 4 games!
Therefore 3-7 is most likely with a win against Port to take us to 3-8 at the 11 rnd mark _________________ Love us or Hate us... we are Collingwood - you can't ignore the Mighty Magpies!!! |
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Pies4shaw
pies4shaw
Joined: 08 Oct 2007
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mattys123 wrote: | I think we will be 4-6, beat the Blues and one of the others (not sure which).
Pendles has talked about wanting to play better in the second half of the season as compared to the first half this year.
It's all going to plan. |
That's encouraging, I guess. |
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5150
Joined: 31 Aug 2005
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We'll be 3 and 8 by round 10 |
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yin-YANG
Joined: 03 Oct 2011
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5150 wrote: | We'll be 3 and 8 by round 10 |
maths is not your thing hey
so which is it - 2-8 or 3-7 or are you undecided or do you mean 3-8 by rnd 11? _________________ Love us or Hate us... we are Collingwood - you can't ignore the Mighty Magpies!!! |
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5150
Joined: 31 Aug 2005
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yin-YANG wrote: | 5150 wrote: | We'll be 3 and 8 by round 10 |
maths is not your thing hey
so which is it - 2-8 or 3-7 or are you undecided or do you mean 3-8 by rnd 11? |
Hey... There are three types of people in this world, those who can count and those who can't....
Nah, we are playing that crap that they will pencil in loses before we even play. We'll struggle against Bye. |
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