Coronavirus II : The Virus Strikes Back

[stui magpie]

[pietillidie]

Things are bad when you start shaking your head in belief:

California, Florida, Texas report new single day high coronavirus death tolls
https://thehill.com/homenews/coronavirus-report/506710-california-florida-texas-report-new-single-day-high-coronavirus

[Jezza]

Latest numbers

Confirmed (Deaths) - Recoveries

USA = 3,223,797 (135,870) - 1,426,613
Brazil = 1,762,263 (69,316) - 1,185,596
India = 798,577 (21,656) - 498,367
Russia = 713,936 (11,017) - 489,068
Peru = 316,448 (11,314) - 207,802
Chile = 306,216 (6,682) - 274,922
UK = 288,133 (44,650) - Unknown
Mexico = 282,283 (33,526) - 214,316
Spain = 253,056 (28,401) - 150,376
Iran = 252,720 (12,447) - 215,015
...........................................................
Australia = 9,359 (106) - 7,626

12,383,583 confirmed cases
558,335 deaths
7,224,637 recoveries

Australia:
- Confirmed cases = 9,359
---- New South Wales = 3,467
---- Victoria = 3,379
---- Queensland = 1,068
---- Western Australia = 630
---- South Australia = 443
---- Tasmania = 228
---- ACT = 113
---- NT = 31
- Deaths = 106
- Recoveries = 7,626
- Case fatality rate = 1.13%

Active Cases = 4,600,611
- USA = 1,661,777
- Brazil = 507,351
- India = 278,554
- Russia = 213,851
- South Africa = 121,558
- Peru = 97,332
- Bangladesh = 89,762
- Pakistan = 89,449
- Spain = 74,279
- Colombia = 72,987
............................................
- Australia = 1,206

**(Maximum) = Recovery numbers are not counted, so only subtracts the number of deaths from the total number of confirmed cases.

[Jezza]

AUSTRALIA

Date = Confirmed Cases (New Cases) = Percentage of new cases

3/07/2020 = 8,255 (65) = 0.8%
4/07/2020 = 8,362 (107) = 1.3%
5/07/2020 = 8,449 (87) = 1.0%
6/07/2020 = 8,586 (137) = 1.6%
7/07/2020 = 8,755 (169) = 2.0%
8/07/2020 = 8,886 (131) = 1.5%
9/07/2020 = 9,059 (173) = 1.9%
10/07/2020 = 9,359 (300) = 3.3%

7,626 recovered, 106 deaths.

Cases doubling every 101 days.

939 cases of community transmission nationwide.

1,206 active cases.

South Australia and Tasmania have no active cases.

Highest daily total since April 1.

VICTORIA

Date = Confirmed Cases (New Cases) = Percentage of new cases

3/07/2020 = 2,368 (65) = 2.8%
4/07/2020 = 2,469 (101) = 4.3%
5/07/2020 = 2,536 (67) = 2.7%
6/07/2020 = 2,660 (124) = 4.9%
7/07/2020 = 2,824 (164) = 6.2%
8/07/2020 = 2,942 (118) = 4.2%
9/07/2020 = 3,098 (156) = 5.3%
10/07/2020 = 3,379 (281) = 9.1%

2,183 recovered, 22 deaths.

Cases doubling every 30 days in Victoria.

509 cases of community transmission in Victoria.

1,172 active cases.

Highest daily total since the pandemic started.

[Pies4shaw]

The US went past 70,000 new cases reported in the last 24 hour period. Just 7 days ago, the States set a new all-time high of 58,910 new cases in 24 hours, so the new peak (71,787) is almost 22% higher than last week’s record. The 7-day rolling average of daily new cases is now up to 56,639 (slightly less than 400,000 new cases in the past 7 days).

Indiana, a state with a population comparable to Victoria’s, recorded 725 new cases overnight (total of 50,300) and 9 new deaths (total of 2,748). The number of new cases there has been creeping back up since it hit a low of just 210 on 22 June (down from a peak of 949 on 27 April).

[Pies4shaw]

107: A man in his 90s has died in Victoria.

From The Age’s blog:

[Sicks Bux]

I was at the Flemington towers for work yesterday. It had calmed right down although there were still a lot of workers and police around.
At one point I went up to the Woolworths on Racecourse road. While I was there I had to go to the toilet and was disturbed to see that they didn't have any soap. Not good.

[Bruce Gonsalves]

Myself and the missus are now considered suspected cases. We've both had a slight cold and thought we'd do the right thing and get tested. We are S.E. suburbs so hopefully nothing to do with all the cluster f@@@@s over the other side.

We did the drive through test, manned by the ADF, very professional. It was done with military precision.

Anyhow, we're isolating at home until the results come back within 6 days.

[Pies4shaw]

Good luck and best wishes for a negative result from both tests. Bruce.

[KenH]

Wishing you and your missus the best of results, Bruce!

[Jezza]

Best wishes to both of you, Bruce.

Here's hoping for a negative result and speedy recovery.

[Jezza]

Victoria

Confirmed Cases:
- 1). Hume = 354
- 2). Melbourne = 318
- 3). Wyndham = 263
- 4). Brimbank = 232
- 5). Moonee Valley = 228
- 6). Moreland = 176
- 7). Casey = 137
- 8]. Banyule = 126
- 9). Stonnington = 116
- 10). Whittlesea = 114

Active Cases:
- 1). Melbourne = 203
- 2). Hume = 176
- 3). Wyndham = 175
- 4). Moonee Valley = 122
- 5). Brimbank = 97
- 6). Moreland = 67
- 7). Whittlesea = 44
- 8]. Maribyrnong = 35
- 9). Darebin = 30
- 10). Banyule = 28

New Cases Today:
- 1). Moonee Valley = 30
- 2). Wyndham = 29
- 3). Hume = 23
- 4). Brimbank = 21
- 5). Moreland = 10
- 6). Banyule = 10
- 7). Maribyrnong = 7
- 8]. Whittlesea = 6
- 9). Melton = 6
- 10). Darebin = 5

[K]

How a Chinese restaurant explains Australia's mask riddle

https://www.theage.com.au/national/how-a-chinese-restaurant-explains-australia-s-mask-riddle-20200708-p55a1e.html

"Dogmas don’t die easy

When it comes to masks, experts agree on most things.

If you cough or sneeze, wearing a mask will help prevent you spreading a virus onto others. If you cannot socially distance and you’re in an area of high transmission, a face-covering is a good idea.

What many experts do disagree on is this: how far can COVID-19 travel through the air?
...

But the belief that most virus-carrying droplets will fall out of the air over 1.5 metres is based on aging evidence that now looks increasingly shaky.
...

Yet the 1.5 metre rule has become “dogma” and held up the push for masks, said Director of the WHO Collaborating Centre for Air Quality at the Queensland University of Technology Professor Lidia Morawska.

“If it’s not accepted the virus can be transmitted through the airborne route, you don’t need to wear a mask,” she said. “Dogmas don’t die easy.”
...

For Professor Morawska, that is clear evidence COVID-19 can spread indirectly and over long distances.

Two of Australia’s key infection control experts disagree.

Professor Lyn Gilbert is chair of the federal government’s Infection Control Expert Group, an influential body that advises the states’ chief health officers.

Associate Professor Philip Russo is deputy-chair, and president of the Australasian College for Infection Prevention and Control.

Speaking in their personal capacity as researchers, both told The Age and the Sydney Morning Herald they did not believe there was strong evidence airborne spread was a major transmission route for COVID-19.
...

Further, if COVID-19 really was airborne, it would behave more like measles – where every sick child infects about 12 to 18 others on average, said Dr Russo. COVID-19’s reproduction number hovers closer to 2 than 20.

“People who get the virus are those that have close contact. If this was a true airborne infection like tuberculosis or measles, that would come out in the epidemiology,” said Dr Russo.
...

A major review of observational studies, published in the Lancet on June 1, found wearing a mask in the community reduced the risk of spreading COVID-19 by 69 per cent – a huge drop.

That paper has led many experts, as well as the Australian Medical Association, to back calls for mask-wearing in Melbourne.

“The effectiveness of masks reducing transmission is now really clear,” says Burnet Institute epidemiologist Professor Michael Toole.

"We hear that wearing a mask will make you stop washing your hands or forget to keep your distance from others – there is no science to support this. In fact, the science shows the opposite – that masks protect," says head of biosecurity at the Kirby Institute Professor Raina MacIntyre."

[K]

^ Gilbert and Russo are fools whose beliefs are endangering the Australian public.

[stui magpie]