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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 8:08 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

David wrote:
If West Coast lose tonight and we beat Adelaide next week, we’ll be in the 4 at the end of next round – so long as either West Coast beat Richmond or the sum total of Richmond’s win over West Coast plus Adelaide’s win over West Coast plus our win over Adelaide is more than 38 points. That’s pretty manageable!


Holy malloley David. Isn't that the formula for a time machine? Shocked
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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 9:14 pm
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Well, there is just one top 4 spot up for grabs now.

We need the Tigers to lose one game and we win both to claim 4th.

Given both games are at the G, I reckon we won't have a chance to claim a top 4 spot.

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Raw Hammer 



Joined: 11 Sep 2008
Location: The Gutter

PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 9:17 pm
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Actually, if WCE lose to Richmond next week and then lose to Hawthorn in Perth the final round, we will take their spot if we win our next two games (currently 8 points behind, and just 3.1% points). Unlikely, but stranger things have happened.
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23 YIPPEE!!! 

YIPPEE 23!!!


Joined: 24 Jul 2019


PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 9:34 pm
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Question will hawthorn make finals I hope they don’t
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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 10:16 pm
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Tiggers play two top sides and if they only win one that give them 15 wins

We win both and that gives us 15 also

Their percent now 112.8
Ours 113.9

We have the chance I suspect to increase ours but doubt they do

Nail biting stuff

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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 10:28 pm
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Probably need that to happen now. Don’t think West Coast loses to Hawthorn, and even if Brisbane go 0–2 (which is entirely possible) their percentage gap on us is too big now.
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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 10:31 pm
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I’m only looking at Tiggers to pinch their spot cos that’s possible

Climbing past 4 for us a bridge too far

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David Libra

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Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Sun Aug 11, 2019 11:48 pm
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Anyway, results went mostly as expected this round, Friday night (and the size of the Bulldogs’ win) aside. Here’s what I’m coming up with now:

1. Geelong 64 130.2%
2. Brisbane 64 120.8%
3. West Coast 64 117.1%
4. Richmond 64 112.7%
5. GWS 56 120.7%
6. Collingwood 56 112.4%
7. Port Adelaide 44 108.0%
8. Adelaide 44 106.7%

9. Western Bulldogs 44 101.4%
10. Essendon 44 92.8%
11. Hawthorn 40 102.5%
12. North 40 97.8%
13. Fremantle 40 96.8%

On that, our path to a grand final might look something like

EF vs Port Adelaide (MCG)
SF vs Geelong (MCG)
PF vs Brisbane (Gabba)
GF vs Richmond (MCG)

Not a bad run, actually!

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K 



Joined: 09 Sep 2011


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 12:19 am
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Here's what the site projects now:

1. Geelong
2. Brisbane
3. WC
4. Richmond
5. Collingwood
6. GWS
7. Port
8. Essendon
9. Adelaide
10. WB
11. Hawthorn
12. Fremantle
13. St Kilda
14. NM
15. Sydney
16. Carlton
17. Melbourne
18. GC
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Joined: 24 Jul 2019


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 11:18 am
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Will hawks miss finals
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David Libra

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Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 1:50 pm
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Yes, if they don't win enough games and other results don't go their way. But it's not guaranteed.
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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 3:28 pm
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BazBoy wrote:
I’m only looking at Tiggers to pinch their spot cos that’s possible

Climbing past 4 for us a bridge too far


We wouldn't want to finish 3rd anyway, as that would probably have us playing the Eagles or Lions on their home turf.
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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 3:33 pm
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R B. Maybe 5th a better bet as for argument sake it was Port Adelaide week one we wouldn’t play at Adelaide Oval
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RudeBoy 



Joined: 28 Nov 2005


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 4:32 pm
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Nooooo. It's always better to finish in the top 4 than out of it. The double chance is very valuable, especially for us, with players returning from injury.
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BazBoy 



Joined: 11 Sep 2014


PostPosted: Mon Aug 12, 2019 4:34 pm
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Yep thats a good point
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