Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

[K]

R12 Line

BetEasy: Geelong (-12.5);

sb: Geelong (-10.5); Brisbane (-12.5); North Melbourne (-18.5);
GWS (-9.5); West Coast (-10.5); Collingwood (-17.5).

R12 H2H

BetEasy: Geelong 1.52 (2.50); Brisbane 1.40 (2.75); North Melbourne 1.40 (2.90);
GWS 1.63 (2.25); West Coast 1.52 (2.45); Collingwood 1.36 (3.10).

sb: Geelong 1.53 (2.39); Brisbane 1.46 (2.58 ); North Melbourne 1.33 (3.12);
GWS 1.55 (2.35); West Coast 1.53 (2.39); Collingwood 1.35 (3.01).

[Skids]

[Skids]

Market movements in 24 hr's...

SB prices (WATAB prices)

Cats $1.02 - no price offered
Pies $1.12 - $1.30 ($1.16)
GWS $1.30 - $1.20 ($1.15)
WCE $1.70 - Get on this! - unchanged ($1.68 )
Tigers $2 - $2.25 ($2.35)
Lions $6 - $3.50 ($5)
Crows $8 - $6 ($5.50)

Freo in from $12 to $8 ($

Big move on the Lions. Looking at their fixture, I can't see them making the top 6 let alone the top 4.
WCE will come in further after they demolish the dogs today.

Beautiful day for footy here today, not a breath of wind, sunny and 23 degrees. Will be plenty of goals kicked.

WCE - 40+/Game total over 162/Rioli to kick 3 goals = 14/1.... time to get some cash back, well worth a $50 dabble.

[eureka]

loss v dees next Monday and kiss good bye to top 4

[eureka]

we are now third

[Skids]

Pies paying $3 in the VFL today.

[Cam]

If we want to win the flag we really need to be top 3.

[Skids]

[taff wa]

[quote="Skids"][quote="Cam"]If we want to win the flag we really need to be top 3.[/quote]

1st (no chance), 2nd or 4th.... not 3rd!
GWS & WCE will be top 4.[/quote]

Please please don’t let us travel to Perth for a qualifying final this year.

[Cam]

4th has won the flag just 3 times in the last 50 Grand Finals.
Better to hit WA in week 1 than in week 3, best and worst case scenarios considered, ala last year...

[taff wa]

[quote="Cam"]4th has one the flag just 3 times in the last 50 Grand Finals.
Better to hit WA in week 1 than in week 3, best and worst case scenarios considered, ala last year...[/quote]

Lets just hope eagles don’t finish top 4.

[eureka]

Top 2 get the home finals pies should aim for spot 2

[Skids]

[taff wa]

[quote="Skids"][quote="Cam"]4th has won the flag just 3 times in the last 50 Grand Finals.
Better to hit WA in week 1 than in week 3, best and worst case scenarios considered, ala last year...[/quote]

We finish 4th, play and beat the Cats, there's no travel anywhere. 2nd or 4th is the go. Cats will finish 1st.[/quote]

Cats have already said they want a final down at the Cattery, the AFL will do their best to give them what they want. No chance in hell of that happening if it’s versus us. Cue the cat squealing.

[Skids]

To finish top 4 after the round completed.

Pies & GWS $1.17
WCE $1.43 (hope you got the $1.70 )
Tigers $2.40
Lions $5.25
Crows $7
Port & Freo $8.50

Out of the remaining rounds the top 4 at present play;

Cats - Play 4 other teams currently in the top 8 - Richmond (a), Port (a), Crows (h) & Lions (a) 2 interstate

GWS - Play 5 other teams currently in the top 8 - Crows (a), Lions (h), Tigers (a), PIES (h) & Port (a) 3 interstate

PIES - Play 4 - WCE (a), GWS (a), Tigers (h), Crows (a) 3 interstate

WCE - Play 3 - PIES (h), Crows (h) & Tigers (a) 1 interstate

Brisbane play 4, 3 of those away from the GABBA.
Crows play 6 (including all of the current top 4), 2 interstate
Port play 5, 2 interstate
Freo play 4, 1 interstate.

I think the top 4 won't change, just the order. Cats will finish 1st. We must win against GWS & WCE to have any chance of top 2. WCE also play 3 of the bottom 4 in the run home.

3rd is a nightmare as it will mean our first final would be in Perth or Sydney.