Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

[K]

R3 Line

BetEasy: Adelaide (-10.5); Melbourne (-15.5); Sydney (-25.5); GWS (-7.5); Brisbane (-6.5);
Collingwood (-14.5); WB (-39.5); Hawthorn (-15.5); Freo (-26.5).

sportsbet: Adelaide (-9.5); Melbourne (-14.5); Sydney (-23.5); GWS (-10.5); Brisbane (-2.5);
Collingwood (-15.5); WB (-37.5); Hawthorn (-13.5); Freo (-28.5).

R3 H2H

BetEasy: Adelaide 1.57 (2.35); Melbourne 1.46 (2.65); Sydney 1.27 (3.60); GWS 1.65 (2.20); Brisbane 1.68 (2.15);
Collingwood 1.48 (2.60); WB 1.13 (5.75); Hawthorn 1.46 (2.65); Freo 1.27 (3.60).

sportsbet: Adelaide 1.54 (2.37); Melbourne 1.41 (2.78 ); Sydney 1.25 (3.70); GWS 1.50 (2.46); Brisbane 1.77 (1.98 );
Collingwood 1.39 (2.83); WB 1.11 (6.00); Hawthorn 1.43 (2.68 ); Freo 1.20 (4.30).

[K]

Odds have tightened for the opening game.

BetEasy: Adelaide (-1.5) line; 1.85 (1.95) H2H.

[Skids]

The Plumbers (4 of us) started a little punting crew last week. Put $10 each in and with the Skidsters little 3 leg winner at the Sunny Coast races + a team picked multi winner on an AFL/NRL double last weekend ( Crows -19.5/Raiders H@H). We've got a healthy little $300 kitty.

This week we have a few multis.

Elliot 1st goal/Beams 30+ touches - $10 @ $18

Melb/syd/bris all win by 1-39/T.Kelly 30+ touches/any player kick 5 goals GWS v Rich - $10 @ $70

Jenkins/Franklin/Kennedy all 1st goal kickers - $5 @ $430

Crows & GWS 1-39/Melb -16.5/Swans 40+/T.Kelly & Danger 30+ touches - $5 @ $162

[K]

And with teams lodged (Jacobs out) the odds have flipped.
BetEasy: Geelong (-1.5) line; 1.85 (1.95) H2H.

sb: Adelaide/Geelong 1.90 H2H.
TAB: Geelong (-1.5) line; 1.85 (2.00) H2H.

[Skids]

Cats now a clear favourite @ $1.77 (SB), $1.87 (WATAB) and $1.80 (Ladbrokes).

We are way unders at $1.46 (SB), $1.48 (WATAB) and $1.42 (Ladbrokes).

I'm going Pies win/total points over 166.5 in our game, into either team by under 15.5 points in tonight's game @ $8.05 (powered).

[K]

R3 Line

BetEasy: Geelong (-1.5); Melbourne (-13.5); Sydney (-12.5); GWS (-10.5); Brisbane (-8.5);
Collingwood (-15.5); WB (-30.5); Hawthorn (-13.5); Freo (-18.5).

sportsbet: Adelaide/Geelong (0); Melbourne (-14.5); Sydney (-11.5); GWS (-11.5); Brisbane (-8.5);
Collingwood (-16.5); WB (-30.5); Hawthorn (-13.5); Freo (-18.5).

TAB: Geelong (-1.5); Melbourne (-13.5); Sydney (-12.5); GWS (-10.5); Brisbane (-8.5);
Collingwood (-17.5); WB (-31.5); Hawthorn (-15.5); Freo (-18.5).

R3 H2H

BetEasy: Geelong 1.85 (1.95); Melbourne 1.52 (2.55); Sydney 1.52 (2.55); GWS 1.57 (2.40); Brisbane 1.62 (2.30);
Collingwood 1.47 (2.70); WB 1.19 (4.75); Hawthorn 1.50 (2.60); Freo 1.39 (3.00).

sportsbet: Adelaide/Geelong 1.90 (1.90); Melbourne 1.45 (2.63 ); Sydney 1.49 (2.50); GWS 1.50 (2.46);
Brisbane 1.60 (2.30); Collingwood 1.41 (2.75); WB 1.16 (4.80); Hawthorn 1.43 (2.70 ); Freo 1.36 (3.00).

TAB: Geelong 1.85 (2.00); Melbourne 1.50 (2.70); Sydney 1.52 (2.60); GWS 1.55 (2.50); Brisbane 1.62 (2.35);
Collingwood 1.45 (2.75); WB 1.19 (5.00); Hawthorn 1.46 (2.80); Freo 1.40 (3.00).

[K]

R4 Line

BetEasy: Syd/Mel (0); Collingwood (-30.5); Geelong (-21.5); Essendon (-3.5);
Port/Rich (0); West Coast (-25.5); Adelaide (-5.5); Carlton (-5.5); Hawthorn (-18.5).

sportsbet: Sydney (-0.5); Collingwood (-24.5); Geelong (-19.5); Essendon (-3.5);
Richmond (-0.5); West Coast (-20.5); Adelaide (-8.5); Carlton (-2.5); Hawthorn (-20.5).

R4 H2H

BetEasy: Syd/Mel 1.88 (1.88 ); Collingwood 1.21 (4.35); Geelong 1.35 (3.10); Essendon 1.75 (2.05);
Port/Rich 1.88 (1.88 ); West Coast 1.27 (3.60); Adelaide 1.68 (2.15); Carlton 1.73 (2.10); Hawthorn 1.38 (3.00).

sportsbet: Sydney 1.84 (1.89); Collingwood 1.22 (4.00); Geelong 1.30 (3.32); Essendon 1.72 (2.04);
Richmond 1.85 (1.88 ); West Coast 1.28 (3.45); Adelaide 1.56 (2.34); Carlton 1.76 (1.98 ); Hawthorn 1.30 (3.32).

[K]

[K]

It looks even stranger after the game. According to sportsbet, we had a 66% chance of winning. Did it appear that way during the game? Insanity.

[K]

Pies still (equal) flag favourites.

sportsbet: Coll, Geel 5.00; WC 5.50; GWS 9.00; Rich 13.00; Ade 15.00; Bris 17.00; Haw, Mel 21.00.

[K]

R4 Line

BetEasy: Sydney (-5.5); Collingwood (-27.5); Geelong (-16.5); Essendon (-4.5);
Port (-24.5); West Coast (-34.5); Adelaide (-4.5); GC (-9.5); Hawthorn (-15.5).

sportsbet: Sydney (-5.5); Collingwood (-26.5); Geelong (-16.5); Essendon (-4.5);
Port (-24.5); West Coast (-35.5); Adelaide (-3.5); GC (-9.5); Hawthorn (-14.5).

TAB: Sydney (-4.5); Collingwood (-25.5); Geelong (-17.5); Essendon (-6.5);
Port (-24.5); West Coast (-36.5); Adelaide (-2.5); GC (-10.5); Hawthorn (-14.5).


R4 H2H

BetEasy: Sydney 1.72 (2.12); Collingwood 1.23 (4.25); Geelong 1.42 (2.90); Essendon 1.74 (2.10);
Port 1.28 (3.70); West Coast 1.15 (5.50); Adelaide 1.78 (2.05); GC 1.60 (2.35); Hawthorn 1.44 (2.80).

sportsbet: Sydney 1.65 (2.20); Collingwood 1.22 (4.00); Geelong 1.38 (2.90); Essendon 1.70 (2.10);
Port 1.29 (3.45); West Coast 1.11 (6.00); Adelaide 1.75 (2.05); GC 1.55 (2.35); Hawthorn 1.42 (2.75).

TAB: Sydney 1.75 (2.15); Collingwood 1.26 (4.00); Geelong 1.42 (2.90); Essendon 1.67 (2.20);
Port 1.30 (3.60); West Coast 1.13 (6.50); Adelaide 1.80 (2.05); GC 1.55 (2.50); Hawthorn 1.46 (2.80).

[Skids]

[K]

Don't think so. Take out that stuff and maybe it looked 50-50. Even that's being pretty one-eyed. I don't see how it could look two-out-of-three (except in Q1, but the last 3 MCG games against them have had fast starts).

[Skids]

Hindsight is a wonderful thing. I was very confident going in.

[K]

But going in, you said "We are way unders," which is agreeing with me about the odds, right?