Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

R1 H2H

BetEasy: Richmond 1.12 (6.75); Collingwood 1.60 (2.35); Melbourne 1.28 (3.70); Adelaide 1.34 (3.25);
Sydney 1.55 (2.45); West Coast 1.60 (2.35); St Kilda 1.28 (3.70); GWS 1.73 (2.10); NM 1.80 (2.02).

sportsbet: Richmond 1.11 (6.00); Collingwood 1.57 (2.30); Melbourne 1.30 (3.35); Adelaide 1.36 (3.00);
Sydney 1.54 (2.37); West Coast 1.55 (2.35); St Kilda 1.25 (3.70); GWS 1.73 (2.10); NM 1.78 (2.05).

TAB: Richmond 1.11 (7.00); Collingwood 1.55 (2.45); Melbourne 1.25 (4.00); Adelaide 1.32 (3.40);
Sydney 1.53 (2.50); West Coast 1.62 (2.30); St Kilda 1.25 (4.00); GWS 1.77 (2.05); NM 1.80 (2.00).

Skids · Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:56 am

Tonight I've gone; Pies Head to Head @ $1.65, Pies by 39.5+ @ $5.50, 9-10 goals in 1st quarter @ $5.50 & Cox 1st goal scorer @ $21.

Go the PIES!

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

The bookies were very accurate with their (pre-game) line last night, but that must be a fluke.

Update: not so accurate with the next night's line.

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

Skids · Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2019 2:11 pm

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

sb are advertising payout this round if your team leads at any change by 2 goals, which is of course 1pt more than the Pies' largest break lead.

I wonder what effect such an offer has on their profits...

Skids · Posted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 10:03 am

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

They know it'll help them make a long-term bigger profit (e.g. by luring you from rivals, getting you addicted, etc.), but whether it's a short-term loss ("investment") on their part ...

So far this round, it's cost them only the WC-Bris game. There've been two near misses (11 points). They've been helped by the low scores in most games.

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

R2 Line

BetEasy: Richmond (-2.5); Adelaide (-2.5); Essendon (-22.5); Port (-34.5); West Coast (-17.5);
Geelong (-10.5); NM (-5.5); Hawthorn (-15.5); Freo (-33.5).

sportsbet: Richmond (-2.5); Adelaide (-0.5); Essendon (-24.5); Port (-31.5); West Coast (-16.5);
Geelong (-10.5); NM (-8.5); Hawthorn (-14.5); Freo (-32.5).

R2 H2H

BetEasy: Richmond 1.81 (1.97); Adelaide 1.78 (2.00); Essendon 1.30 (3.50); Port 1.18 (4.60); West Coast 1.38 (3.00); Geelong 1.50 (2.50); NM 1.71 (2.10); Hawthorn 1.48 (2.60); Freo 1.15 (5.25).

sportsbet: Richmond 1.77 (1.97); Adelaide 1.89 (1.91); Essendon 1.25 (3.70); Port 1.17 (4.65); West Coast 1.37 (2.92); Geelong 1.50 (2.50); NM 1.66 (2.13); Hawthorn 1.43 (2.83); Freo 1.14 (5.20).

Skids · Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2019 10:21 am

How NM are favourites to beat the Lions is amazing. I'll be jumping on that (Lions)!
West Coast are way unders, I'll be taking GWS @ the line there. Freo are way unders also, GC are worth a nibble at the line.

Multi for me round 2;

GWS +16.5 ($1.90) into GC +27.5 ($1.90) into BL H2H ($2) = $7.97 (Odds Boost with Ladbrokes) x $50 = $398.50.... or $50 for them Laughing

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

So why Ladbrokes, Skids?

Skids · Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2019 2:15 pm

I prefer their website and the 'Boosts' available.
They also provide a Ladbrokes card (visa), where you can instantly transfer winnings and either get to an ATM and make a withdrawal or, use as a normal debit card. This is a very handy feature, especially after some nice wins and too many brews!

I'm up at work at the minute, had some nice collects on the pony's on Saturday. I transferred money to the card, which is at home and got Kelly to pay a few Bill's, fill the car and do a bit of grocery shopping.
Without the card option, I probably would have put silly multis on the NBA or some other stupid bets.

I also have SB, Beteasy and a WATAB account. Don't use Bet365 since they limited my bet size.

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

With teams in, BetEasy now has Coll-Rich 50:50 H2H.
So do sb & Ladbrokes, but they still have a line (Rich -0.5).
And TAB too (with an unequal line: Rich -2.5 $2; Coll +2.5 $1.80).

K · Joined: 09 Sep 2011

R2 Line

BetEasy: Rich/Coll (0); Sydney (-3.5); Essendon (-19.5); Port (-33.5); West Coast (-17.5);
Geelong (-9.5); NM (-1.5); Hawthorn (-18.5); Freo (-23.5).

sportsbet: Richmond (-0.5); Sydney (-4.5); Essendon (-20.5); Port (-34.5); West Coast (-17.5);
Geelong (-8.5); NM (-1.5); Hawthorn (-19.5); Freo (-24.5).

TAB: Richmond (-2.5); Sydney (-2.5); Essendon (-20.5); Port (-32.5); West Coast (-17.5);
Geelong (-8.5); NM (-1.5); Hawthorn (-19.5); Freo (-21.5).

R2 H2H

BetEasy: Rich/Coll 1.90 (1.90); Sydney 1.80 (2.02); Essendon 1.35 (3.20); Port 1.18 (4.90); West Coast 1.42 (2.90);
Geelong 1.60 (2.35); NM 1.85 (1.95); Hawthorn 1.39 (3.00); Freo 1.29 (3.60).

sportsbet: Rich/Coll 1.90 (1.90); Sydney 1.65 (2.15); Essendon 1.28 (3.45); Port 1.15 (5.00); West Coast 1.40 (2.80);
Geelong 1.58 (2.29); NM 1.85 (1.95); Hawthorn 1.33 (3.18 ); Freo 1.25 (3.70).

TAB: Rich/Coll 1.90 (1.90); Sydney 1.80 (2.05); Essendon 1.36 (3.30); Port 1.18 (5.20); West Coast 1.40 (3.10);
Geelong 1.62 (2.35); NM/Bris 1.92 (1.92); Hawthorn 1.38 (3.20); Freo 1.32 (3.50).

ronrat · Joined: 22 May 2006 Location: Thailand

Rod Stewarts old man got banned by a pommy mob because he had one of those have to pick 10 winners sort of a bet at a few thousand to to one. Rod told all the audiences at the next 10 or so concerts and they tried to stop him but legal advice was that the truth prevails. In the end they reckon it cost them potentially a few hundred thousand customers. Victab still have my money but I can't bet because "you are betting from overseas" and they won't give me my winnings unless I appear in person. When I do it won't be pretty.