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Skids 
Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.
Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175
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_________________
Don't count the days, make the days count. |
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RudeBoy
Joined: 28 Nov 2005
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GWS
ADELAIDE
RICHMOND
COLLINGWOOD
SYDNEY
PORT ADELAIDE
MELBOURNE
WESTERN BULLDOGS
ESSENDON
GEELONG
WEST COAST
ST KILDA
HAWTHORN
CARLTON
FREMANTLE
NORTH
COLD TOAST
BRISBANE |
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MightyMagpie
Joined: 04 Jun 2013
Location: WA
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Sydney
Adelaide
GWS
Geelong
Port Adelaide
Collingwood
Essendon
Melbourne
Richmond
Western Bulldogs
Hawthorn
St Kilda
West Coast
Fremantle
Carlton
North Melbourne
Brisbane
Gold Coast
_________________
All We Can Be |
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Skids
Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.
Joined: 11 Sep 2007
Location: Joined 3/6/02 . Member #175
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I'm with you RudeBoy. I think we're going to shock many this season 
_________________
Don't count the days, make the days count. |
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themonk
Joined: 02 Mar 2004
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Ok I'll have a go
GWS
Essendon
Richmond
Sydney
Port Adelaide
Adelaide
Melbourne
Collingwood
Geelong
Hawthorn
West Coast
Fremantle
Bulldogs
StKilda
Carlton
Kangaroos
Brisbane
Gold Coast
btw DTM, everyone is entitled to their opinion but really? |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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| Skids wrote: | | glasseyevfx wrote: | I'm not a gambler but I think that betting figures are derived by the popularity of the expectation as much as prediction. So if a heap of Pies die hards bet on them to make the top four it effects the odds. Or am I wrong?
Besides this I believe Dave is off the mark and we will finish low to mid eight in a very even season.
.....Ahh finals....
<snip> |
That is correct... to an extent. Smart punters use the weight of money for sides that realistically aren't in the race and blow out the price of true contenders and then pounce.
I backed Richmond at 14/1 to win the flag, 8 weeks before the finals. |
On this theme, I therefore think it's the betting agencies' over/under figures that one should follow. I'm told that those really are their predictions and the betters' behaviour won't change where the line is.
From TAB, this gives:
perm{Adelaide, Sydney}
perm{Geelong, GWS, Port}
perm{Melbourne, Richmond}
perm{Collingwood, Essendon, Bulldogs}
perm{Hawthorn, WCE}
StK
Freo
perm{Brissy, North}
perm{Carlton, GC},
leaving one free to choose the order in each bracket. |
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TopGun 
Joined: 27 Jul 2003
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Probably as good a guess as anyone's but this is how I WANT the season to end
Collingwood
Carlton (flog the pricks in the Granny)
GWS
Gold Coast
Fremantle
Port Adelaide
North
Crows
Eagles
Sydney
Brisbane
Bulldogs
Geelong
Melbourne
Hawks
Essendon
Richmond
Pendlebury to win the Brownlow
Adams to win the Copeland
Cox to win the Coleman
Kirby to win the Norm Smith
Daicos to win the Rising Star
Treloar to win the AFL MVP
Howe to win Mark of the Year
Blair to win the JJ Liston
Phillips to win the Stawell Gift
All Australians: Pendlebury. Treloar. Sidey. Adams. Grundy. Howe. Kirby. Daicos. Cox. Elliott. Wells. JDG and Moore
Collingwood to win the VFL, AFLW, Netball and Little League Grand Finals
AFL to reveal that for the past 50 years that they have forced the Umpires and Tribunal to crucify Collingwood at every opportunity
Did I just see a pig flying past? Am I making my Mojjitos too strong?
Last edited by TopGun on Thu Jan 18, 2018 11:38 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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| Skids wrote: | | I'm with you RudeBoy. I think we're going to shock many this season |
In a good way or a bad way?  |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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| TopGun wrote: | ...
...
Howe to win Mark of the Year
Blair to win the JJ Liston
Phillips to win the Stawell Gift
...
Did I just see a pig flying past? Am I making my Mojjitos too strong? |
Does Howie know you refer to him as Miss Piggy? |
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mudlark
Joined: 19 Mar 2002
Location: Maroochydore Qld
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| Dave The Man wrote: | | ronrat wrote: | | This prediction will come back to bite you DTM. If this is testament to your footballing knowledge. |
Glad to know that you think I have no Clue.
<Mod edit: Calm down> |
Can't disagree with you on that one. |
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Podpicken
Joined: 28 Oct 2006
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Port Adelaide will win the flag. Will be a Port v GWS GF.
Pies 7th.
_________________
Billy Picken, the great No. 25 in the sky! |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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| Podpicken wrote: | Port Adelaide will win the flag. Will be a Port v GWS GF.
Pies 7th. |
That would be in keeping with the pattern of the last two years. |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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| K wrote: | | Podpicken wrote: | Port Adelaide will win the flag. Will be a Port v GWS GF.
Pies 7th. |
That would be in keeping with the pattern of the last two years. |
Actually if Collingwood won the flag, that would be in keeping with the last 2 years.... 12th to first!
_________________
Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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K
Joined: 09 Sep 2011
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| E wrote: | | K wrote: | | Podpicken wrote: | Port Adelaide will win the flag. Will be a Port v GWS GF.
Pies 7th. |
That would be in keeping with the pattern of the last two years. |
Actually if Collingwood won the flag, that would be in keeping with the last 2 years.... 12th to first! |
Well, E, I was thinking that, even in the current impoverished times, a team probably needs to have made the finals at some point in the previous few years. (I see that the Dogs barely managed even that lowly requirement.) |
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masoncox
masoncox
Joined: 31 Aug 2015
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21 to 1 from sportsbet re flag.
Middle of the road this year again. |
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