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Hostage situation hypothetical

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 7:19 pm
Post subject: Hostage situation hypotheticalReply with quote

Here's the situation, take the hypothetical for what it is, no trying to twist it, question it, change the scenario, or say this couldn't apply to you, just deal with the situation as laid out or don't play.

You are at home, it's early evening.

A person is holding a loved one of yours (child, partner, parent, whatever) in front of them with a sharp knife held to their throat. This person is larger than your loved one so your loved one does not provide full cover for the other person. At least 80% of their head and all of the shoulder that's not attached to the hand holding the knife is clearly visible.

3 metres of clear space separates you and there is nothing else within 2 metres of either of you. No cover, no distractions.

There is no one else in the house and no prospect of anyone else coming, it's just the 3 of you.

You have a loaded handgun in your hand. Let's say for sake of argument it's a standard Police issue .38 revolver. How you got it in your hand is irrelevant, it's there.

The person holding the knife to your loved ones throat tells you to drop the gun by the count of 10 or they will cut your loved one's throat.

They start to count.

Who this person is, is irrelevant as is their gender, race, religion, motive and anything else. What you do know with a 90% degree of certainty is:

1. If they get to the count of 10 and you're still holding the gun, your loved one is getting their throat cut

2. If you put the gun on the ground, they intend to pick it up and kill you and your loved one both.

3. It is not possible to de-escalate this situation by talking, this person intends to kill you and your loved one if they can.

You have 9 seconds to make a decision. What do you do?

For the sake of the hypothetical, your skills in using a hand gun are whatever your real skills are. How good or bad a shot you are is what it is. You don't need to know how to use a gun, this is loaded, the safety is off, all you have to do is point and pull the trigger and it will fire.

What do you do?

Indecision would be a standard response but the countdown is on. When this person gets to 10 there's going to be blood.

What do you do?

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9............................

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Morrigu Capricorn



Joined: 11 Aug 2001


PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 7:28 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

No brainer - hope I have my glasses on - remember how good I am at darts - aim for the carotid and shoot !

Mind you if it wasn't hubby could only be one of the girls and they would have scratched the bejesus out of em and be long long gone before I could shoot Razz

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 7:49 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

The notion that if your aim is a tad off you could put the bullet into hubby's head doesn't make you pause?
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Morrigu Capricorn



Joined: 11 Aug 2001


PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 8:29 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Nope cause the likelihood of me hitting him by mistake is less than the likelihood that knife person will do as they say.

And if I miss both the resulting situation may be enough to change the dynamics of the situation in our favour.

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 8:34 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Applying a risk management approach, your local Quality/risk management people would approve. Razz

FWIW I'm on a similar page but I'll wait to see before I put mine up. Wink

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Morrigu Capricorn



Joined: 11 Aug 2001


PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 8:44 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

2 and a bit years in the CATT ST Kilda to Dandenong catchment Wink
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Tannin Capricorn

Can't remember


Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Location: Huon Valley Tasmania

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:06 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Go for a body shot ('coz I wouldn't be confident of hitting the right head) and hope like all buggery (a) that the wound won't be fatal to the hostage, and (b) that whatever sort of bullet I'm firing from whatever sort of gun that is will be sufficiently hard and have sufficient muzzle velocity to go right through and wound the bastard with the knife.

Not a good option, I know, but the hostage might survive a body wound but is most unlikely to survive a head wound.

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:16 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Morrigu wrote:
2 and a bit years in the CATT ST Kilda to Dandenong catchment Wink


Ouch. No wonder you have no fears touring the wilds of Africa. Wink

Tannin wrote:
Go for a body shot ('coz I wouldn't be confident of hitting the right head) and hope like all buggery (a) that the wound won't be fatal to the hostage, and (b) that whatever sort of bullet I'm firing from whatever sort of gun that is will be sufficiently hard and have sufficient muzzle velocity to go right through and wound the bastard with the knife.

Not a good option, I know, but the hostage might survive a body wound but is most unlikely to survive a head wound.


I considered that option but I don't know enough about human anatomy to know whether I'm going to hit a vital organ or not.

Plus, a standard .38, even at 3 metres, is going to struggle going all the way through a body and inflicting serious damage to the one behind unless you fluke a bone free shot, Glancing a rib will cause enough deflection to impact what it does when it goes through.

Still better than doing nothing though IMHO

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think positive Libra

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Joined: 30 Jun 2005
Location: somewhere

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:28 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Shoot on one, aim for his head, and scream duck
He will let go, I'd keep firing

If I miss she dies anyway, better a bullet than a knife, and then I'd take him apart piece by piece, he would wish he was never born,

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:40 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Jo,

I'd expect nothing less. Wink

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Wokko Pisces

Come and take it.


Joined: 04 Oct 2005


PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:43 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

I'd shoot and then charge, he either cops the head shot or gets winged and hopefully lets go/is disoriented enough to NOT take the throat slash.

Have to take the chance with the shot, because no other option leads to a good place.

Only other option I could think of was to throw the gun above his head and charge when he looks at it, but I don't like the chances of making the 3 meters without ending up stabbed or losing the hostage.
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think positive Libra

Side By Side


Joined: 30 Jun 2005
Location: somewhere

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:46 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

stui magpie wrote:
Jo,

I'd expect nothing less. Wink


Hehe cheers xx

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Tannin Capricorn

Can't remember


Joined: 06 Aug 2006
Location: Huon Valley Tasmania

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 9:59 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

Of course, if I was a trained, highly skilled American cop, I'd just turn around and fire 16 deadly shots into someone that was no possible threat to me.
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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 10:09 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

My instinct would be to try to talk him down and work out what he wants, but seeing as how you've excluded that option, this is what I'd do:

Basically, it's a stalemate situation. You're in just as much of a position to tell him to drop the knife as he is to tell you to drop the gun. So, go on the offensive. Tell him that if he doesn't drop the knife, he's getting a bullet. Fire a warning shot above his head. If the knife moves, start shooting near his exposed area and don't stop. The minute he gets hit, he'll be incapacitated and you can take control of the situation.

In a way, this is a bit of a trick question because usually there are pros and cons to weigh up in a hostage situation. It's why police often wait hours before intervening. But in the rare cases where the hostage-taker is on an efficient murder/suicide mission, that's the time to go in all guns blazing.

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stui magpie Gemini

Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.


Joined: 03 May 2005
Location: In flagrante delicto

PostPosted: Thu Nov 26, 2015 10:15 pm
Post subject: Reply with quote

David wrote:
My instinct would be to try to talk him down and work out what he wants, but seeing as how you've excluded that option, this is what I'd do:

Basically, it's a stalemate situation. You're in just as much of a position to tell him to drop the knife as he is to tell you to drop the gun. So, go on the offensive. Tell him that if he doesn't drop the knife, he's getting a bullet. Fire a warning shot above his head. If the knife moves, start shooting near his exposed area and don't stop. The minute he gets hit, he'll be incapacitated and you can take control of the situation.

In a way, this is a bit of a trick question because usually there are pros and cons to weigh up in a hostage situation. It's why police often wait hours before intervening. But in the rare cases where the hostage-taker is on an efficient murder/suicide mission, that's the time to go in all guns blazing.


I didn't actually exclude the option of talking them down, I just said it had only a 10% or less success rate.

yes to a degree it's a trick question but as a hypothetical, it's valid. Every single day you could find yourself in a situation, not as extreme as this one hopefully, but a situation where you have to make a fast decision with only the facts presented and no opportunity to probe or argue those facts. .

I didn't anticipate that response from you, well played.

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