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How many Syrian refugees should Australia take?

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How many Syrian refugees should Australia take?
None
52%
 52%  [ 21 ]
A few hundred
2%
 2%  [ 1 ]
A few thousand
5%
 5%  [ 2 ]
Over ten thousand
5%
 5%  [ 2 ]
As many as possible
35%
 35%  [ 14 ]
Total Votes : 40

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HAL 

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 30, 2016 1:38 pm
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Where did you get it?
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Morrigu Capricorn



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PostPosted: Fri Dec 30, 2016 6:45 pm
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Skids wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SK7To4gSr0

Dispute this....


Looks like Lakemba!

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Pies4shaw Leo

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 30, 2016 10:44 pm
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Skids wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SK7To4gSr0

Dispute this....

Broadmeadows and Coolaroo never looked that habitable.
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think positive Libra

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 03, 2017 8:20 am
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<This conversation moved from Islamic terrorism thread>

Mugwump wrote:
Yes, Jezza, we did enter a new world on 9/11 : a world where we can foresee any level of violence being used indiscriminately against us by an irrational and nihilistic enemy, whose agents are deeply embedded in our society. A world where the nation state is so weakened and porous that it can barely be mobilized to organize against the new type of menace. We are all still trying to make sense of the world in the light of that epoch-defining event.

On Merkel, I presume that she was animated by superficially good impulses, probably rooted in a misplaced desire to exculpate war guilt which has passed its statute of limitations. However, it has been act of astonishing political recklessness, unilaterally embroiling her European partners on the Mediterranean and Balkan front line in a wave of illegal immigration, emboldening the far right across the continent, exposing the German people and society to major and minor crime in a way which exceeded any democratic mandate, and putting at risk Germany's cultural and social fabric longer-term. If she is returned in the elections late next year it will be a testament, I suspect, to the lack of any credible true Conservative alternative, and the Germans' understandable paralysis in light of their history.

There were humanitarian alternatives to her recklessness and poor judgement. A policy of funding refugee camps and screening Syrian applicants in safe areas of Turkey, and then accepting those (especially families) who are genuinely and demonstrably Syrian refugees, might have filtered out the kind of passportless Tunisian who committed the Christmas market outrage. The Syrian people do need help, and we should be accepting more of them while doing more to assure their safety closer to home. If we can once again establish the line between asylum and illegal immigration, despite our home-grown revolutionaries who see it as a way to denature and destabilize their own societies, we may be in a position to do so.


Now that it's obvious she she really stuffed this up, how do you fix it?
All she has done, unfortunately, is sealed the fate of the next lot of genuine refugees

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Mugwump 



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PostPosted: Tue Jan 03, 2017 9:24 am
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^ TP, she (we) cannot unscramble what has been mixed,nor should we try to.

So we start with a policy of integration, tolerance, kindness and support for those who are here, while sending back those who are not genuine asylum seekers.

We abandon the clearly failing experiment of multiculturalism, and ask that new arrivals imbibe, understand, appreciate and seek to join the historical and traditional roots of the country they have chosen to join.

We get a grip on our borders, and stop the sentimental mush which argues that young men chanting "Germany" and clashing with police should have the same status as families with children in need of particular protection. We deny the subtle post-truth that mass unmanaged asylum-seeking/immigration is a necessary reality of the modern world, and we demand that our governments start to serve the interests of the people they are elected and paid to represent, rather than some offshore humanitarian ideal.

At a cultural level, we remember that our job is not to act as an historic dictatorship which arrogantly assumes it knows better than our forebears, but rather to carefully steward the inheritance we received - not as revolutionaries, but as careful guardians and wary reformers on behalf of the future.

We stop interfering in the Middle East unless it is unambiguously necessary that we do so in our direct and vital national interest. We start recogising and discussing present day Arab culture and Salafist and Deobandi Islam generally for the backward, death-flinging, failing and misogynistic thing that it mostly is, in scripture and in practice, while being open to dialogue with those serious Islamic scholars and statesmen who are capable of reasoned accommodation and progress.

We stop humouring Saudi Arabia and pretending it is an ally, when it is to the latest evil rather like the USSR was to the Communist evil. We grow up and regard healthy, normal patriotism and pride in our own history, traditions, and habits as normal, rather than things to be sniggered at by snobbish and self-regarding undergraduates leading virtue parades.

Finally, we treat terrorism or the making of plans and preparations for terrorism as an act of treason, and one of the gravest crimes on our statute book, to be punished with great severity. As we should all forms of violent crime.

All of those things, I suggest, are the things that a properly
Conservative party should be attending to, if we had one. I think our society would be kinder, more humane, less legalistic but more lawful, less oppressive, safer, and more genuinely tolerant and compassionate if we did so. The other side of politics will tell you that it is impossible that the "old Right" can have an interest in real human welfare and the dignity of ordinary people, as they have a monopoly on that brand and the sneers it entitles them to. We should stop buying that, as well.

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think positive Libra

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 03, 2017 9:34 am
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i really like that post, cheers
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David Libra

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PostPosted: Wed Jan 04, 2017 8:48 pm
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Mugwump wrote:
On Merkel, I presume that she was animated by superficially good impulses, probably rooted in a misplaced desire to exculpate war guilt which has passed its statute of limitations. However, it has been act of astonishing political recklessness, unilaterally embroiling her European partners on the Mediterranean and Balkan front line in a wave of illegal immigration, emboldening the far right across the continent, exposing the German people and society to major and minor crime in a way which exceeded any democratic mandate, and putting at risk Germany's cultural and social fabric longer-term. If she is returned in the elections late next year it will be a testament, I suspect, to the lack of any credible true Conservative alternative, and the Germans' understandable paralysis in light of their history.


While the right-wing media and some posters on here would have us believe that Germany has become a Mad Max-style dystopia over the past 12 months, I suspect that even given genuine horrors like the Cologne assaults and the recent truck attack Germany and its people are doing far better than the pages of Breitbart are telling us. As such, I think the jury is still out on whether Merkel made the right choice or not.

Some factors to consider when making that assessment:

    Has the overall crime rate risen significantly since Syrian refugees were allowed into the country?

    Do the kinds of incidents we see reported in the tabloids indicate a rise in certain kinds of crimes related to the cultural or religious backgrounds of the people coming in, as opposed to rare and isolated occurrences?

    Has the overall risk or occurrence of terrorist attacks risen in Germany in the past 12 months independent of global trends?


If the answer to any of those questions is yes (and there's plenty of reason to doubt that), then you would be able to make a case that Merkel's decision has left Germany worse off. But even that would not necessarily be enough to indicate that she made a mistake. We need to remember why this call was made: the world faced an extraordinary humanitarian crisis which was already seeing refugees flood into Europe from the Syrian epicentre and the neighbouring countries like Turkey, Lebanon and Egypt which were bearing (and still are bearing) the greatest share of the load of this crisis, and which lacked anywhere near the necessary resources to be able to do so adequately.

In that context, Merkel's call was one of leadership: not for Germany to take on and fix the world's suffering single-handedly, but for the rest of the world (and particularly the rest of the EU, within which Germany holds an important leadership position) to open their doors and share the load of this refugee crisis, and thus reduce the immense human suffering being caused by it. Of course, as we know, other countries didn't come to the table; Poland, Hungary and Slovakia, amongst others, put up the gates and bolted them shut. So Germany and a few other European countries were left to share a disproportionate load in handling this crisis (in terms of European countries; Lebanon and Turkey still house far more Syrian refugees per capita).

The funny thing with humanitarian crises is that they don't tend to have easy solutions. People whose homes and livelihoods have been destroyed aren't always as well-adjusted as the Joneses in the McMansion across the road. While statistics show that the vast majority of refugees and other immigrants are willing to work hard and live according to the law of the new land, I suspect it is fairly often the case that large refugee influxes do bring with them some social problems.

Why would any country willingly inflict that upon itself? I believe it's because, even in these cold-hearted times, we still have a notion of global responsibility; a faint concept that the slow death of a child in a different land with a different skin colour is still an injustice; that those of us who have had the dumb luck to grow up in peace and prosperity should not turn our backs on the suffering of the less fortunate. That, when all the flags and obsessions with national integrity are put to one side, a violent brawl on the local bus is not as bad as ten lives lost in the Mediterranean. Perhaps there's even a subconscious hope that, in the slim chance that we should find ourselves in the midst of a humanitarian catastrophe, another country might open its arms to us.

These are not merely the 'progressive' ideals of bleeding-heart socialists like me. They were, for a time, held across the political spectrum, from the fustiest old conservative to the most moderate social democrat. Merkel, a conservative Christian Democrat, is herself squarely of that tradition. But there's an older discourse re-emerging that all of this compassion and empathy is mere weakness that will lead us to be swamped by barbarians and rapists. This discourse doesn't care for dying children in refugee camps; they're not from our country and not our responsibility. For many of the people of this political mindset, the only good one is a dead one anyway; for the rest, it's out of sight, out of mind.

This discourse isn't just promulgated by people with shaven heads and swastikas any more. It's held by upstanding members of society, respectable politicians and self-styled 'compassionate' conservatives. In many ways, it's less of a hateful ideology than an easy one: just like the fantasy economics of protectionism, pushed by many of the same people, it's based on the kind of wishful thinking that says that things don't need to be as complex as they are right now. Just leave the refugees where they are. You don't need to look at them, after all. You're not going to have to hear them suffer. If it's on the news, you can always change the channel. And if it means a slightly smaller chance that a black kid from the outer suburbs might one day leave your car sitting on concrete blocks, that sounds like a pretty good deal to many people.

That's the key choice here, I believe: to turn away, or not to turn away. Merkel chose not to. I believe that was the right choice indeed, the only possible choice of any ethical merit. My only concession here is that the jury's out on whether she went about it the right way. Perhaps she could have adopted a better screening process, or tried harder to spread the numbers of immigrants around through trade deals or the like. Perhaps a process like temporary protection visas which allowed refugees to return home when safe keeping in mind that, for opponents of Assad, that time might never come would have been more effective. History and hindsight will judge her on those questions. But on the important question, the key question of whether or not to open the door and alleviate a little of the world's suffering I am sure that she made the right call.

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Last edited by David on Wed Jan 04, 2017 10:18 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Skids Cancer

Quitting drinking will be one of the best choices you make in your life.


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 04, 2017 10:07 pm
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Migrants in Germany committed or tried to commit some 69,000 crimes in the first quarter of 2016, according to a police report that could raise unease, especially among anti-immigrant groups, about Chancellor Angela Merkel's liberal migrant policy.

There was a record influx of more than a million migrants into Germany last year and concerns are now widespread about how Europe's largest economy will manage to integrate them and ensure security.

The report from the BKA federal police showed that migrants from northern Africa, Georgia and Serbia were disproportionately represented among the suspects.

http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0YT28V

GERMANY, Sweden and other European countries are facing growing public unrest amid a wave of reports of sexual assaults since the Cologne attacks.

New York-based conservative think tank Gatestone Institute has compiled a shocking list of sexual assaults and rapes by migrants in Germany in just the first two months of the year.

Drawing only from German media reports, the list documents more than 160 instances of rape and sexual assault committed by migrants in train stations, swimming pools and other public places against victims as young as seven.

http://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/world-economy/cologne-is-every-day-europes-rape-epidemic/news-story/e2e618e17ad4400b5ed65045e65e141d


Migrants committed 208,344 crimes in 2015, according to a confidential police report that was leaked to the German newspaper, Bild. This figure represents an 80% increase over 2014 and works out to around 570 crimes committed by migrants every day, or 23 crimes each hour, between January and December 2015.

The actual number of migrant crimes is far higher, however, because the report, produced by the Federal Criminal Police Office (Bundeskriminalamt, BKA), includes only crimes that have been solved (aufgeklrten Straftaten). According to Statista, the German statistics agency, on average only around half of all crimes committed in Germany in any given year are solved (Aufklrungsquote). This implies that the actual number of crimes committed by migrants in 2015 may exceed 400,000.

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/7470/germany-migrants-crime

Can't wait for the 2016 stats hey??!!

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David Libra

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PostPosted: Wed Jan 04, 2017 10:33 pm
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It's a shame that document in the Reuters article didn't provide percentages, because these figures are pretty useless without them. For point of comparison, 69,000 crimes in a quarter sounds like rather a lot, but when you consider that (as a random example) 750,000 thefts alone were committed in Australia in 2009*, you can get a sense that these figures don't necessarily indicate an alarming increase on their own.

* (See link below)
http://www.aic.gov.au/media_library/publications/facts/2010/facts_and_figures_2010.pdf&ved=0ahUKEwiesazTsKjRAhXMHJQKHU0KCmAQFggZMAA&usg=AFQjCNEPLZ8cA5z2kCT1it2ONJ0YEhlqUA

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Mugwump 



Joined: 28 Jul 2007
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PostPosted: Wed Jan 04, 2017 11:34 pm
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^ Though I disagree with most of what you wrote, David, thank you for taking the issue seriously.

The most fundamental point of disagreement I have with your post is that you seem to assume that those of us who disagree with Merkels approach ipso facto favour the turn away approach. The second fundamental point is that I dont think whether she went about it the right way is a secondary question. Its what politics (and indeed, life) is about. Once you have decided to involve yourself, the question is how, and to what extent, and on whose behalf, with what consent, and with what likely entailed risks. Those are the difficult bits of the exam, not whether one should try to help.

Now, there are solid conservative arguments for turning away, as we do all do every day from Congo, and Eritrea and Liberia and from poverty across the world. We cannot solve the worlds problems of government, and we all know that asking the worlds homeless into your home is not a real strategy for making the world fairer or more pleasant : though anyone who does share their actual family home with a Syrian family earns a lot more moral respect from me than those armies who prefer to socialise their sacrifices and preach on Facebook William Blakes minute particulars quote is worth looking up in that context.

However, in Syria, it is right not to turn away. These are good people who have been caught up in crisis of horror through no fault of their own. It is arguable that we played some role in the conditions that now prevail. The question is what to do, and how to do it.

My position, as I stated above, is that Merkel went about it almost entirely the wrong way, causing massive externalities and misdirection because of her methods. When there were other and better alternatives, I don't think that is real leadership as you do. I think it is quite the opposite.

As a final note, thank you for having the humility to put progressive in quotes. When we all begin to accept that progress is contingent and hydraulic and uncertain, and that there may be different political and philosophical approaches to it, we may have the intellectual conditions to advance towards it a little.

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David Libra

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 1:50 am
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No worries, I appreciate your respectful reply, and take your comments on board.

One last thing I should have added, though, was that Merkel's decision to effectively fling open the gates deserves a bit of contextualisation. This was a response to a crisis that was already more or less out of control; people were already flooding into Europe and many likely would have made it in through the back door anyway if they hadn't been granted amnesty (we easily forget here in our moat-girt castle of a country how uncontrollable such people movements can be). It was also one that required immediate and decisive action; people were dying in the Mediterranean on a regular basis and Greece in particular was being overwhelmed with asylum seekers.

So, let's not characterise this (as some on here have in the past) as an act of maverick free will on the part of the German leader. Merkel didn't create the Syrian crisis and she most certainly didn't create the mass migration into Europe that occurred as a result of it. Whether she exacerbated that flow is another question if she did, it's less clear to me that she could have done much to reduce it. Syria would seem to be a pretty clear instance of what refugee advocates talk about when they argue that push factors are far more effective than pull factors in determining people movements. Stricter controls might, as you say, have sifted out more of the opportunists and troublemakers from the genuinely needy, but I expect that history would not have been radically rewritten.

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Mugwump 



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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 3:22 am
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^ Yes, you have a point. the crisis was well underway before Angela Merkel issued her famous proclamation, and it is well to remember that she did not cause it. I do, however, think she exacerbated it and was naive in encouraging a chaotic, increased flow via the leaky-boat merchants who ply the Mediterranean, and attracting the kind of passport-less Tunisian who drove a truck through a Christmas market. I also think she was nave as to the likely long-term consequences of absorbing ~ 1 million people - including many (mostly?) ill-educated young men - from a very distant, unquestionably problem-ridden and alien culture, all within a year.

It really is a little like inviting the local homeless into your front room in a crisis. Don't assume that it'll feel like your home in 5 years time if you set that precedent. And that might be ok if it was your personal home, but it is less ok when the rest of the German family did not elect you as head of the household on that basis, and your home is an open-plan block of flats called free-movement Europe.

On respect, I copped "authoritarian", "smug", "reactionary", and (by innuendo but not denied when challenged) Nazi-values-sympathising in recent weeks and my respect meter fell rather low. Your open and courteous reply makes respectful disagreement quite straightforward.

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Pies4shaw Leo

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 5:57 am
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David wrote:
It's a shame that document in the Reuters article didn't provide percentages, because these figures are pretty useless without them. For point of comparison, 69,000 crimes in a quarter sounds like rather a lot, but when you consider that (as a random example) 750,000 thefts alone were committed in Australia in 2009*, you can get a sense that these figures don't necessarily indicate an alarming increase on their own.

* (See link below)
http://www.aic.gov.au/media_library/publications/facts/2010/facts_and_figures_2010.pdf&ved=0ahUKEwiesazTsKjRAhXMHJQKHU0KCmAQFggZMAA&usg=AFQjCNEPLZ8cA5z2kCT1it2ONJ0YEhlqUA

The entire point of stating numbers in that way is to pander to racist sentiment. Thus, to describe it as a "shame" that percentages weren't provided is to miss what is happening with this debate. It's all just fuel to the fire of the "failed multicultural experiment" (and worse) propaganda. It's like the "statistic" that 76 "foreigners" were arrested in the whole of Germany on New Year's Eve. None of it is evidence of special propensities of particular sub-populations to do bad things (or, frankly, evidence of anything in particular). There are about 6,000,000 "crimes" per year committed in Germany. Obviously, the "crimes" being counted range from a small number of extraordinarily serious incidents right down to a vast number of trivial matters. The sort of propaganda that presents "crime statistics" about "foreigners" as a subject for concerned outrage is intending to draw a link between terrorists and "foreigners who commit crimes" (howsoever trivial) - the argument implicit in presenting useless data in this way is that the "sort of" people who commit ordinary crimes are the same "sort of" people who commit terrorist atrocities. It's devious, mischievous nonsense and it should be specifically identified as devious, mischievous nonsense.

Of course, even if percentage comparisons were provided, they would require cautious consideration - recent immigrant populations have, over the last 100 years, frequently been involved in more crime than more-established sub-populations of people within communities. So, mere disproportionate representation of recently immigrated sub-populations in "crime" statistics would be wholly unsurprising. Typically, that says more about access to social and economic resources than it says about whether particular sub-populations are comprised of "good" or "bad" people.
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Skids Cancer

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:06 am
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1000 strong mob set Germany's OLDEST CHURCH ON FIRE on New Year's Eve.

Polish TV reported that the Merkel government had ordered all CCTV footage of the attacks erased and the event covered up.


http://www.therebel.media/1000_strong_mob_set_germany_s_oldest_church_on_fire_on_nye

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:07 am
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How do you usually introduce yourself?
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