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Abbott and his Talibanist contempt for science and reason

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pietillidie 



Joined: 07 Jan 2005


PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2014 5:32 am
Post subject: Abbott and his Talibanist contempt for science and reasonReply with quote

A quite brilliant article on the insidious social reach of Abbott and Co's pathological, fundamentalist denial of reason, and along with it the education aspirations and motivation of young Australians. (See the original article for links).

Associate Professor Burkard Polster and mathematician Marty Ross in The Aged wrote:
Tony Abbott is a liar: It's a mathematical truth

Until there is a dramatic change in Australia's approach to education there will be no improvement in attitudes to scientific and mathematical truth, or to truth of any sort.

Do politicians lie? Of course they do, including, of course, Prime Minister Tony Abbott. Whether it's the manufacturing of a budget "crisis", or the systematic trashing of election promises, or pretending that taxes are anything-but-taxes, or lying about spying, or lying about lying, Abbott has demonstrated his disdain for the truth.

There is no need to go into detail here since Mike Carlton has already documented much of the fibbing, ably assisted by Annabel Crabb and Laurie Oakes and Bernard Keane and ... well, pretty much every political commentator who isn't a Liberal Party shill.

And Tony Abbott is not alone. The Prime Minister leads a fine cabinet of companion liars, including the Minister for the Destruction of Education, Christopher Pyne. A "unity ticket" on the Gonski education reforms? Nope, just some airbrushing of history and yet another lie.

The overarching lie is that Prime Minister Abbott is leading a conservative government. In fact, Australia is being pummelled by American-style, dog-eat-dog radicals. Far from being conservative, current Liberal Party philosophy is little more than adolescent-level libertarianism.
It shouldn't be news that politicians are lying and it's not mathematics. Well, we believe that the depth and the nature of Liberal dishonesty is news, and we believe there is a connection to be made.

Since there is no minister for mathematics let's begin with the minister for science. And he is ... a ghost. Yes, for the first time since 1939 the federal government of Australia has no minister for science.

But it doesn't really matter if there's no science minister, just as long as scientific research is well-funded. And the CSIRO, the government's dedicated body for science research is ... having its funding slashed.
But it doesn't really matter if a particular science organisation has to jettison research, just as long as someone is doing good science. And the federal government is promoting careful research into ... wind turbine syndrome.

Yes, Prime Minister Abbott has arranged for the National Health and Medical Research Council to undertake a study of the health effects of wind turbines. Even though there is no scientific basis for the concerns, and even though study after study after study after study has demonstrated that wind turbines are safe. However one cannot be too careful and perhaps the National Health and Medical Research Council will discover something new. Perhaps they'll figure out how the thousands of wind turbines that have been in Denmark for decades have failed to kill everyone. Or anyone.

But it doesn't really matter if the Prime Minister is distracted by a little bit of cultish nonsense, just as long as the major scientific issue of our time is being addressed with care and honesty. Which brings us to global warming. Or climate change, if you prefer. Whatever. A withered rose by any other name is just as dead.

To be clear, we have no intention of debating global warming. Why not? Because there is no debate. It is a scientific fact that global warming is happening. It is a scientific fact that humans are responsible, through the production of greenhouse gases. And the evidence very strongly suggests that the consequences are already occurring, and in the future will be extensive and bad. Or, if the world continues to do bugger-all about reducing carbon dioxide emissions, very very bad.

We believe a zero-respect policy on global warming denialism is long overdue. However for the moment our concern is not with the madness of crowds but the madness of politicians.

Are the politicians mad? Abbott infamously declared climate change to be "absolute crap" but that was years ago. Abbott now claims to believe in climate change. Is he now lying? Who could possibly tell? But it also doesn't matter.

Whether or not Abbott still believes climate change is crap, his government invariably acts as if it were crap. The list, helpfully compiled by Crikey's Giles Parkinson, is already phenomenal: the submission of legislation to repeal the carbon tax; the demolition of the Australian Renewable Energy Agency; the guess-what-will-happen review of Australia's renewable energy target; moves to scrap the Clean Energy Finance Corporation; moves to demolish the Climate Change Authority; the demolition of the Climate Commission; appointing a full-blown climate crank as chief business adviser; and transforming the minister for climate change into another ghost, to keep company with the minister for science. All of this while underfunding the Liberal Party's own absurd carbon capture scheme with its absurdly inadequate target.

Can Abbott possibly get away with this environmental and scientific (and economic) vandalism? We don't know but the Liberal Party obviously believes it's on a winner. And it may be that enough Australians listen to enough nonsense, or just have insufficient concern, that the Liberal Party is correct.

It is clear that many Australians do not have any great respect for the scientific method or scientific practice. It seems way too common to regard science as just another belief system, nothing but boffin-based opinion. The result is that science is permitted no special claim to truth, which is a very dangerous, essentially mediaeval, state of affairs. What on Earth has happened?

A little bit about school mathematics: we, as mathmeticians, have banged on and on, column after column, about the woeful presentation of mathematics in curricula and textbooks, and consequently in maths classes. We've wailed over the presentation of mathematics as a collection of facts to be religiously accepted, rather than as a beautiful, precise and incredibly powerful method of reasoning. The harm to students' opinion of mathematics is obvious and massive, but we believe the harm extends much further.

The just-the-facts style of teaching mathematics promotes a warped, faith-based attitude to knowledge. It undermines the whole point of education, for students to learn to think, to value truth as the end result of reasoning rather than as a collection of God-given facts. Until there is a dramatic change in Australia's approach to education we cannot see how there will be any improvement in Australians' attitude to scientific and mathematical truth, or to truth of any sort.

It's a very long bow to blame the poor teaching of mathematics for Abbott's anti-science crusade, and we have no intention of drawing it. But it is unarguable that Australian society currently places a depressingly low value on reason and truth, and so on science in particular. We believe mathematics teaching must take its fair share of the blame.

But what of Tony? Will he be remembered as a liar? Probably, but probably he'll be remembered for much more. Eventually, and more likely sooner rather than later, global warming will be undeniable. Truly undeniable.

Which means Abbott should go down in history as the Australian Prime Minister, the last Australian Prime Minister, to deny physical reality.


http://www.theage.com.au/comment/tony-abbott-is-a-liar-its-a-mathematical-truth-20140529-zrs5h.html

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David Libra

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Joined: 27 Jul 2003
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PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2014 8:21 am
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Perhaps there is only space on the political spectrum for two mainstream parties? Amazing to think that one of them only gets about 15% of the vote at best while these radicals are actually in government.

In a sane world, Tony Abbott's Liberals would be on the crossbenches. Or, like, not even in Parliament at all. Good thing they're attacking higher education now because god help them if they ever face an educated populace.

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Wokko Pisces

Come and take it.


Joined: 04 Oct 2005


PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2014 9:24 am
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The Liberals are neither Liberals nor Libertarian (stupid assertion early made the piece lose credibility). They are increasing spending and taxation, are looking to return to surplus though increasing the tax burden and apart from a nod to free speech by repealing 18C have shown little to no tendency toward increasing personal freedoms or shrinking government. They are radicals, but a strange Corporatist right wing kind of radical. They're heading quickly for "worst of both worlds" territory.

The rest of the article devolved into climate change obsession. No matter your view on it, there is nothing Australia can do unilaterally to effect global climate and global action is simply not going to happen. Once renewable energy technology is cheaper and more economical than fossil fuels there will be an organic shift to lower polluting energy sources. Until then, if climate change is happening then prepare for the change, because sticking fingers into the dike down here in middle power Australia isn't doing anything.

As for Abbott lying, well that doesn't take a genius to spot and it's going to bite him in the arse. You can't run a campaign on honesty and then pull the crap this government has pulled. I don't think I've ever seen a Prime Minister lose his luster so fast. Even the truly woeful usually had a honeymoon period, or at least a "give him/her a fair go" period. Abbott's spending of political capital is the true 'debt crisis' in Canberra.
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Tannin Capricorn

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Joined: 06 Aug 2006
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PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2014 10:20 am
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^ Obsession? What utter crap. No rational person today can deny the reality of global warming, nor the reality of Abbott's contemptible efforts to make this, the worst and most urgent problem ever faced by mankind, worse still - even when it costs his government money. Paying attention to the #1 priority isn't "obsession", it is mere rationality. Anyone too stupid, too cowardly, or too greedy to act responsibly in a position of responsibility should be sacked immediately and never re-employed in any form of public life.
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David Libra

I dare you to try


Joined: 27 Jul 2003
Location: Andromeda

PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2014 10:52 am
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Wokko wrote:
The Liberals are neither Liberals nor Libertarian (stupid assertion early made the piece lose credibility). They are increasing spending and taxation, are looking to return to surplus though increasing the tax burden and apart from a nod to free speech by repealing 18C have shown little to no tendency toward increasing personal freedoms or shrinking government. They are radicals, but a strange Corporatist right wing kind of radical. They're heading quickly for "worst of both worlds" territory.


I agree that they're not true libertarians, but I'd say that the ideology—via the IPA—has had more than a little impact on their policy decisions. Consider their fetish for privatisation, cutting 'red tape', their 'ideological commitment' to lowering taxes (for the rich), opposition to protectionism (one of the few things I agree with them on) and cutting welfare. I'd say all of these have at least a right-wing libertarian tinge.

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thebaldfacts 



Joined: 02 Aug 2007


PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2014 7:19 pm
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Looks like not everyone agrees that there is a consensus.

Australia's earth scientist certainly don't .

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/health-science/earth-scientists-split-on-climate-change-statement/story-e6frg8y6-1226942126322#
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pietillidie 



Joined: 07 Jan 2005


PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2014 7:25 pm
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^Can you paste the text of that article in? (We'll worry about the sincerity and accuracy of the "opinions" of local mining-dependent "earth scientists" on a matter pertaining to climate science when we see the text).
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Last edited by pietillidie on Fri Jun 06, 2014 7:27 pm; edited 1 time in total
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HAL 

Please don't shout at me - I can't help it.


Joined: 17 Mar 2003


PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2014 7:27 pm
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I've been waiting for you.
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pietillidie 



Joined: 07 Jan 2005


PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2014 7:27 pm
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^Indeed you have, you tin-headed blighter!
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thebaldfacts 



Joined: 02 Aug 2007


PostPosted: Fri Jun 06, 2014 8:02 pm
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Here is the text from the article in the Australian:

AUSTRALIA’S peak body of earth scientists has declared itself unable to publish a position statement on climate change due to the deep divisions within its membership on the issue.

After more than five years of debate and two false starts, Geological Society of Australia president Laurie Hutton said a statement on climate change was too difficult to achieve.

Mr Hutton said the issue “had the potential to be too divisive and would not serve the best interests of the society as a whole.”

The backdown, published in the GSA quarterly newsletter, is the culmination of two rejected position statements and years of furious correspondence among members. Some members believe the failure to make a strong statement on climate change is an embarrassment that puts Australian earth scientists at odds with their international peers.

It undermines the often cited stance that there is near unanimity among climate scientists on the issue.

GSA represents more than 2000 Australian earth scientists from academe, industry, government and research organisations.

A position statement published in 2009 said the society was concerned about the potentially harmful effects of carbon dioxide emissions and favoured “strong action to substantially reduce current levels’’.

“Of particular concern are the well-documented loading of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, which has been linked unequivocally to burning of fossil fuels, and the corresponding increase in average global temperature,’’ it said.

“Risks associated with these large-scale perturbations of the Earth’s fundamental life-support systems include rising sea level, harmful shifts in the acid balance of the oceans and long-term changes in local and regional climate and extreme weather events.”

Publication of the position statement caused an uproar among members and led to a revised statement, after wide consultation. The revised statement said: “Geological evidence clearly demonstrates that Earth’s climate system is inherently and naturally variable over timescales from decades to millions of years.

“Regardless of whether climate change is from natural or anthropogenic causes, or a combination of both, human societies would benefit from knowing what to expect in the future and to plan how best to respond.

“The GSA makes no predictions or public policy recommendations for action on climate beyond the generally agreed need for prudent preparations in response to potential hazards, including climate change.”

The revised statement was criticised as being too vague.

In a short statement published in the latest edition of the society newsletter, Mr Hutton says: “After a long and extensive and extended consultation with society members, the GSC executive committee has decided not to proceed with a climate change position statement.’’

“As evidenced by recent letters to the editor … society members have diverse opinions on the human impact on climate change. However, diversity of opinion can also be divisive, especially when such views are strongly held.

“The executive committee has therefore concluded that a climate change position statement has the potential to be far too divisive and would not serve the best interests of the society as a whole ,” the statement says.
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pietillidie 



Joined: 07 Jan 2005


PostPosted: Sat Jun 07, 2014 4:21 am
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^To get you to do some legwork on this topic yourself before engaging in deeper discussion on the matter, grab yourself some context first by checking this list [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change#Non-committal ] and then comparing it to this list [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change#Concurring ], in the light of this survey data [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change#Surveys_of_scientists_and_scientific_literature ], neatly captured in the graphic I have embedded below, and the nature of scientific consensus as a phenomenon itself [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_consensus ].

Then, give us your considered assessment of the GSA's position so we have something substantial to discuss.



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Last edited by pietillidie on Sat Jun 07, 2014 4:28 am; edited 2 times in total
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HAL 

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 07, 2014 4:25 am
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OK I will tell them when I see 'em.
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pietillidie 



Joined: 07 Jan 2005


PostPosted: Sat Jun 07, 2014 4:29 am
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^Jesus H. Christ on a bike, you habitual edit-foiler!
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thebaldfacts 



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PostPosted: Sat Jun 07, 2014 10:27 am
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Nevertheless it is clear that there is deep division and a lack of consensus amongst Australian earth scientists.

The GSA cannot publish a consensus amongst it members which shows that the matter is not as clear cut as some would have you believe.
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thebaldfacts 



Joined: 02 Aug 2007


PostPosted: Sat Jun 07, 2014 10:36 am
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And just for some balance, other surveys put it at roughly 50/50 when you look past the first few google search results.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/20/the-97-consensus-myth-busted-by-a-real-survey/

Still, rather than arguing over surveys, what we can say is that the GSA has certainly shown that it's members do not subscribe to the consensus myth.
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